What’s Dave going to do about the men?

What’s Dave going to do about the men?

What’s the truth behind the gender gap reports? Over the past couple of weeks there’s been a lot of focus on the big gender gap that is said to have developed in support for the two main parties. This was sparked off by the November Populus Poll in the Times when this was given splash treatment and has been followed up a number of columnists. One of the problems with the Times report was that it was based on just…

Read More Read More

Is the Queen’s speech part of Reid’s leadership bid?

Is the Queen’s speech part of Reid’s leadership bid?

Has the programme been devised to boost Reid and to stop Gordon? Stoking up the rhetoric on crime, terror and immigration looks set to be the central theme of this morning’s traditional speech by the Queen at the opening of Parliament. For those interested in the key betting markets of the Labour leadership and “when Blair will go” the main focus is on who is going to be getting all the publicity as the new legislative programme is pushed through…

Read More Read More

The pleasures of political betting

The pleasures of political betting

May 4th 2005 – eight hours to the off At just after 11pm on the night before the May 2005 General Election a retired solicitor and a staunch Methodist who is strongly opposed to gambling knocked on my door clutching £500 in twenty pound notes in his hand. Could I, he asked, put a bet on for him? He explained that for the past three weeks he had been doing a daily 220 mile round trip to help the Liberal…

Read More Read More

Is Tony clearing the decks for an early announcement?

Is Tony clearing the decks for an early announcement?

Is 18/1 on a 2006 exit announcement good value? I was very struck by this recent comment in the Times by Mary Ann Sieghart Every time I read a story claiming that Tony Blair won’t leave office until May or June or July, I become even more convinced that he is planning an early exit. Why? Because the only weapon left to him is surprise. If he wants to go with dignity, it has to be on his own terms….

Read More Read More

Is it fair to compare today’s ministers with Labour’s Class of ’76?

Is it fair to compare today’s ministers with Labour’s Class of ’76?

Were these really “golden days”? Comparisons are starting to be made with the last time Labour had to elect a leader while in government in March 1976 following the resignation of Harold Wilson. That contest produced an extraordinary array of contenders all of who could be considered to be “big beasts”. They were – Employment Secretary Michael Foot; Tony Crosland the Environment Secretary;Tony Benn, the Energy Secretary; Home Secretary Roy Jenkins; the Chancellor Denis Healey and the Foreig Secretary Jim…

Read More Read More

Did Gordon move too quickly on the race hate laws?

Did Gordon move too quickly on the race hate laws?

Has his reaction to BNP trial made John Reid look more liberal? Gordon Brown is not yet Prime Minister yet his widely reported call for tougher race hate laws following the dismissal of the BNP case has been widely seen as a Government policy statement – an impression that was reinforced by other cabinet minsters rushing to back up the man most likely to be their future boss. Yet the person on whose territory this is, the Home Secretary, John…

Read More Read More

Will Gordon be happy with Alan Johnson’s website?

Will Gordon be happy with Alan Johnson’s website?

Is the Education Secretary planning a big double-cross? With great fanfare yesterday Alan Johnson launched his campaign for Labour’s deputy leadership with solid statements of his support for Gordon Brown as leader and his belief that the Chancellor should get the job unopposed. Johnson also launched his deputy campaign website and a rather different picture starts to emerge. For the materials on show do not look as though they are from a man who is content to be a number…

Read More Read More