US Election night continued….
Our server is still holding up With thousands of users constantly loading and re-loading there is enormous pressure on our servers tonight.. The shorter the thread the less the demand. Please use this one. Mike Smithson
Will anybody lay a bet from this man?
Is Bush’s money on his party holding both houses? This new thread has been put up to manage the demand on our servers. Watch out for another thread that should start at about 5am. With so many users constantly loading and re-loading the shorter the threads the better. Latest House betting here. Latest Senate betting here Mike Smithson
The US Election thread continued….
Punters still give the House to the Dems with the GOP retaining the Senate Punters have been piling onto the Democrats on Betfair’s election markets in the hope of picking up a small profit even though the best price is now moving to 0.04/1. That means that a successful £100 bet would produce profits of just £4. In the Senate race it is a bit closer with the Republicans at 0.53/1 and the Democrats at 1.52/1. It could still be…
How will the Bush Presidency look after tonight?
Will his party hold both the House and Senate, one or neither? With reports starting to come in from across the US it’s clear we are in for an exciting night. And, in the fashion of US elections, there are the reports of problems with electronic voting machines in several state. This has almost become a tradition. According to ABC News ” Programming errors and inexperience dealing with electronic voting machines frustrated poll workers in hundreds of precincts Tuesday, delaying…
Ohio Exit Poll – November 3 2004 – 1.05am EST
A timely reminder from two years ago At 1.05am EST on November 3rd 2004 the US news channel, CNN, showed the above graphic on the screen illustrating the result of an exit poll in Ohio, the key state that Senator John Kerry had to win if he was to beat George W. Bush for the Presidency. The message was clear. Kerry was ahead in Ohio and the chances were that the state would give him enough votes in the electoral…
Populus find huge gender gap over Gordon v Dave
Is this the result of Murdoch’s ferocious attacks on the Tory leader After a week which has seen savage criticism by the Murdoch press on David Cameron and positive media coverage generally of Gordon Brown the November Populus poll in the Times shows the following shares with changes on last month – CON 36% (nc): LAB 33% (-2): LD20 % (+2). So the trend is in line with recent YouGov, ICM and Communicate Research polls but with the Tory margin…
Will I win my “Blair being arrested bet”?
How dangerous are things for the PM and his aides? Last July I put £50 on at 6/1 that Tony Blair would be arrested before the end of the year. It seemed worth a punt and the price though not generous appeared just about fair. Now things are moving quickly with threats of resignation said in to be in the air from the DPP if there is political interference with the process. It’s clear from the leaks that have been…
How much damage has Rupert done to Dave?
Will Populus record a Brown leadership bounce? For polling geeks like me the next few surveys are going to be fascinating and might be good pointers to the future. For the transition from Tony to Gordon is well under way and he’s now being portrayed daily in the media mostly in a positive light as the PM in waiting. If there is going to be a Brown succession bounce then we might see the first signs of it. This could…