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Should Gord call an October general election?

2/9/2008 Mike Smithson

Would this be in Labour’s best long-term interest? Another opinion poll overnight showing not one iota of improvement in Labour’s position and another month goes by eating into the precious time the party has to get it right before it is forced to face the voters. Labour’s situation is dire and it is hard to foresee the circumstances in which it can stop Cameron’s Conservatives getting a substantial majority. There is no positive indication anywhere – and there’s been nothing…

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Palin’s daughter is pregnant

1/9/2008 Editor

How will this impact – could Palin be forced off the ticket like Eagleton in ’72? Live prices for the GOP VP candidate are here. Populus Poll: Con 43 (n/c) Lab 27 (n/c) Lib Dem 18 (n/c) Double Carpet

Is this the man to restore economic confidence?

1/9/2008 Mike Smithson

Will it be Balls in – Darling out? Lots of talk today about who would replace Alistair Darling as chancellor and one man whose name keeps on coming up is Ed Balls – the former public school boy who has probably the closest relationship with Brown of any minister in the cabinet. He spent more than a decade as his top advisor and has long been tipped for a top position in a Brown government. It was Balls who played…

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Is the “love-bombing of Cameron” coming to an end?

1/9/2008 Mike Smithson

Can we now expect fierce full-frontal attacks? What could be the most significant UK political development of the weekend was the news that Brown’s PR guru, Stephen Carter, has been “moved on”. This, according to James Forsyth of the Spectator Coffee House blog, could herald a major shift in Number 10s approach because Carter was a keen advocate of a more softly softly approach, particularly to David Cameron. He writes:”In recent weeks, Carter has been advocating not trying to tear…

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Morus’s Denver Diary

31/8/2008 Mike Smithson

TUESDAY 19th AUGUST 2008 @ 21:51 BST Welcome all to the grand opening of Morus’ Denver Diary! PoliticalBetting.com is almost the only UK online outpost to be reporting live from the Democratic Convention in 2008, where Senator Barack Obama will accept his party’s nomination for President of the United States. This is where I will be writing at greater length than the main thread allows – posting thoughts and rumours, as well as transcripts of any interviews I conduct. I…

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Canada heads for an October election

31/8/2008 Editor

Will Canadian Liberals benefit from the Obama buzz? A guest article by Jack Peterson This week, the eyes of the free world will shift from Denver, where Morus has been keeping tabs on the Democrats for PB, to the Twin Cities of Minneapolis-St Paul, where John McCain will accept the Republican nomination and try to distance himself from President Bush. However, political punters would be well advised to keep an eye on events a few hundred miles to the north,…

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Morus’s Denver Diary

31/8/2008 Mike Smithson

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Are we seeing the final act of the Brown drama?

31/8/2008 Mike Smithson

What if Darling resigns over Gord’s Â£40bn plan? Three political stories dominate the Sunday papers and all point to just one conclusion – that we might be in the final phase of the Gordon Brown era. The first is in the Independent of Sunday which reports that Stephen Carter, the high-powered PR guru who was brought into Downing Street as Gord’s key strategist is to be moved to a new role. The second is the lead in the Mail on…

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