CONSERVATIVES 43% (+1) LABOUR 30% (nc) LIB DEMS 18% (-1) How big a disappointment will this be at No 10? After the YouGov poll showing that the Tory lead had slipped backed to just seven percent at the weekend there were high hopes at Brown Central that the G20 meeting last week might have turned the corner. Well the Times Populus Poll for April is just out and the only changes are a one point increase in the Tory share…
What do you think the outcome of the next UK General Election will be? LAB majority Hung LAB most seats Hung CON most seats CON majority: 1 – 25 CON majority: 26 – 50 CON majority: 51 – 75 CON majority: 76 – 100 CON majority: 100 plus Is Rentoul right about the Brown “dead cat bounce”? In his weekly column for the Independent on Sunday John Rentoul was very doubtful that the G20 meeting would provide Gordon Brown…
What if Brown becomes “The Chancellor of the World” An idea has been buzzing round my head all night and the more I think about it the more it sounds like a plausible theory that could totally overturn current thinking about the general election. It might be recalled that in February Jackie Ashley in the Guardian floated an idea of Brown becoming a “a new global financial supremo” linked possibly to the IMF – a rumour that she said then…
Mail Online … and Darling admits that economic forecasts were wrong [International thread is below this one – many thanks.] So, after all the excitement of the G20 and Brown enjoying his key role at the summit and rubbing shoulders with world leaders, it’s back down to earth, and domestic politics, with a bump. It now looks as though any benefits that the PM gained from this week may be fleeting and minor. Not only did last night’s YouGov poll…
Can the new government confound the doomsayers? [Please use the thread above for UK politics – many thanks.] It goes without saying that the main international event this week has been the G20 summit, but important events were also occurring in the country whose nominal GDP is ranked at a lowly 42nd (or 43rd if you prefer the IMF list to the World Bank’s), as Israel finally managed to put together a new government, seven weeks after the February election….
Are Summits Suffering from Attention Deficit? For the ten presidents, fourteen prime ministers and one king who attended the G20 summit in London it’s generally been a very successful week. All look to have got much of what they wanted from the final communique, there have been some excellent photo-opportunities which will play well to domestic audiences, there’s been welcome progress on other topics – such as the nuclear arms limitation talks between the US and Russia – and it…
CON 41(nc) LAB 34(+3) LD 16(-1) But should Brown Central have been expecting much more? A new YouGov poll taken on Friday and today gives Labour a boost following the massive exposure for Gordon Brown during the G20 meeting. Fieldwork took place on the two days afterwards when most of the coverage was highly positive. The figures above show comparisons with the last survey from the firm just over a week ago. To put the change in context it will…
The Labour Party Spread moves suggest a CON MAJORITY of 45: Down 11 seats There’s been a sharp move to Labour on the Sporting Index Commons seats spread market follow the G20 meeting. The latest figures with the SELL price first and the BUY price second are: CON 345 – 350: LAB 230 – 235: LD 43 – 46 seats. The bookmaker has also reduced the range of the spread from six seats to five which should offer a little…