Could Clarke be the Assassin?

Could Clarke be the Assassin?

Might the ex-Home Secretary be Labour’s Stalking Elephant? Today’s big news really ought to be the European Parliament election results this evening, though given the way the last few days have gone, there’s no guarantee that something even more dramatic won’t scoop it. Still, as they won’t come out until this evening, let’s have another look at the Labour leadership situation. Once again, the Sunday newspapers are dreadful for Gordon Brown, with stories of (old) e-mails sent by Peter Mandelson…

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What’s all this going to do to his survival chances?

What’s all this going to do to his survival chances?

And Mandelson emails say Brown can’t win Two critical developments this evening that could impact on Gordon’s chances of surviving: the leak of email by Peter Mandelson saying that Brown cannot win and his visit to the D-Day celebrations in Normandy when he apparently got booed by veterans and in his speech he mistakenly referred to Omaha beach as being “Obama Beach” The alleged Mandelson emails, written in January last year while he was still an EU commissioner, are in…

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YouGov: Labour members say Gord should go

YouGov: Labour members say Gord should go

A new YouGov poll, just out, of Labour members for Channel 4, finds that “a majority think he should step down before the next election – and more than one in five think he should go now.” The Channel 4 report is a bit short on the actual numbers and we are not told when the survey was carried out or what the sample size was. We do know, however, that the online pollster has been able to all-Labour members…

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Why Labour shouldn’t put its hopes on the economy

Why Labour shouldn’t put its hopes on the economy

It’s Gord that’s the problem – however much they deny it I’ve just been listening to Radio 4’s “The Week in Westminster” and Diane Abbott MP was lucidly arguing that it’s the MPs expense scandal and the economy that’s behind Labour’s travails – NOT Gordon Brown. Once we get to the election, she argued, everything would depend on the economy and who was seen to best placed to deal with it. During a lively discussion the old Clinton mantra “It’s…

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More by-election fun in Norwich North

More by-election fun in Norwich North

Now for some betting action… I spent all of yesterday with Iain Dale and Hopi Sen on the PLAY Talk Radio show covering the local election results, the PM’s press conference, the mother of all reshuffles, and general political debates of the day. By my reckoning we had between 4 and 6 months’ news yesterday, but the 9-and-a-half hour show was topped with a PoliticalBetting.com cherry: a competitive by-election sparked by the resignation of Labour MP Dr Ian Gibson in…

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Your predictions for Sunday night

Your predictions for Sunday night

What to do you think the Great Britain Tory vote will be in the Euro Elections? 0 – 24.9% 25 – 25.9% 26 – 26.9% 27 – 27.9% 28 – 28.9% 29 – 29.9% 30 – 30.9% 31% – 100%    Which party will be in SECOND PLACE in terms of vote share in the GB Euro Election? LABOUR LIB DEM UKIP None of the above    Which party will be in THIRD PLACE in terms of vote share in…

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So he survives – but for how much longer?

So he survives – but for how much longer?

And what about the Euros and now the Norwich by election? We knew this was going to be one helluva political day and so it has been. Right through the night to Browns late afternoon press conference when news came through of Caroline Flint’s resignation. There’s an interesting story there that we haven’t heard the last of. She gave Gord a strong endorsement last night just as James Purnell was doing his worst – why just nineteen hours later is…

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Punters push Tory spreads to record levels

Punters push Tory spreads to record levels

SportingIndex CON 360-365 LAB 203-208 LD 53-56 But the TV “experts” project a Tory majority of just 4 A big gap has opened up this afternoon between the punters – those who back up their general election predictions with hard cash – and the TV academics who have been analysing the local election results. So while SkyNews has been projecting, based on the handful of results in so far, a Conservative general election total 327 seats the Sporting Index spreads…

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