The latest White House 2028 betting
I still think the value is with Donald Trump Jr given the iron grip his father has on the Republican party. TSE
Saying no to Boris Johnson
From The Telegraph article A shadow Cabinet minister said that they could not think “of a single one” of their colleagues who thought Mr Johnson returning to the Conservative Party fold would be a good thing. Iain Martin, a political columnist, told the Not Another One podcast last week that two Conservatives MPs had made it known they would “not stick around” if Mr Johnson became party leader again. This is great news for those laying Boris Johnson as next Tory leader….
Will Jenrick or Cleverly be the orange ball-chewing gimp of Boris Johnson?
The Sunday Times published a story about Kemi Badenoch’s leadership which has progressed as serenely as Operation Citadel did for the Germans, it really is a matter of when she is replaced before the general election not if and inevitably discussion has turned to her successor, Tim Shipman writes I cannot see either plan working, firstly there’s only one Tory MP who received over 50% of the vote at the last election not the eight Boris Johnson and his allies…
Ars Longa, Vita Brevis
“Never ask a question to which you don’t know the answer” is cross-examination’s golden rule. It means asking just what you need to establish the facts or argument necessary for your case. Described as forensic, lawyers-turned-politicians are over-praised for this skill, often undeservedly so. Political persuasion is about crafting a story resonating with ordinary people, not making clever points to impress judges. Investigations are different: asking questions to which you don’t know the answer is essential. Curiosity is a much-underrated…
Things can only get better
My first thoughts about this polling is that Reform voters are very positive about what a Reform government will achieve which means their support won’t be shifting. That Green figure is intriguing and it means the assumption that plenty of Greens will vote for Labour as the lesser of two evils might be misplaced. TSE
Despite all the fury fewer than a third oppose the Chagos Islands deal
TSE
The Chagos deal
For every amount of indignation “surrendering our territory for no reason” that can be stoked, India has stoked quite the opposite feeling of anti colonial indignation at the previous status quo, now leading to their day of triumph, for It’s come to this win for India after a long campaign by them sponsoring the fight for this outcome. We own it in eyes of UN. We don’t have to yield to UN court judgement’s, but we do need to be…
Will any party win an overall majority at the next election?
This market from Ladbrokes is interesting but one that I am not playing, I think it will be easier to lay/back and trade out the individual parties on Betfair. TSE