Don’t believe the hype

Don’t believe the hype

Several pollsters have polls out showing a party led by Corbyn/Sultana doing well well and Find Out Now have joined the list but as we can see in 2019 a similar hypothetical poll about the The Independent Group/Change UK turned out to be bobbins as is the way with hypothetical polls like this. REPEAT AFTER ME, HYPOTHETICAL POLLS HAVE AN IGNOMINIOUS HISTORY. TSE

You can’t handle the truth. Honesty is Starmer’s only advantage over Farage

You can’t handle the truth. Honesty is Starmer’s only advantage over Farage

The Telegraph are reporting that Voters believe Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader, is better than Sir Keir Starmer in almost every respect but is less honest than him, according to a poll. Mr Farage is seen as being more in touch with ordinary people, paying greater attention to detail and being a stronger leader than the Prime Minister. A new survey by Ipsos asked respondents whether they felt certain positive characteristics applied to Sir Keir, Mr Farage or Kemi Badenoch, the Tory…

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Kemi Badenoch isn’t very effective

Kemi Badenoch isn’t very effective

My expectation is that at some point in 2026 Kemi Badenoch will be replaced as Tory leader by Robert Jenrick and one of the reasons is Robert Jenrick can set the agenda in a way Badenoch cannot, such as his focus on fare evaders. I have said the current government is in office but not in power, a similar mot juste can be applied to the current leader leader of the opposition as we can see in the above polling,…

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The challenge for… the Liberal Democrats

The challenge for… the Liberal Democrats

This is the midpoint in a series looking at the challenges and opportunities for the 7 main Great Britain parties. Today we will look at the Liberal Democrats and see if they can continue their recent triumphs. Understanding the LD’s success 2024 was the most successful election to date for the LDs in terms of seats won and their ratio of seats to votes was twice as high as their previous best of 2005. Election % of Votes won %…

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Hypothetical polls are still bobbins

Hypothetical polls are still bobbins

I am not a fan of hypothetical polling because they have a history of being laughably wrong and I suspect this is another poll to join that list, even though it is good news for my 100/1 tip on Jeremy Corbyn or Zarah Sultana becoming Prime Minister by 2030. The reason why I’ve said Corbyn is a diminished figure from his 2017 apogee was his ratings went into the toilet was his response to the Salisbury poisonings where the public…

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