CON SPREAD RANGES —– Sporting Index 334 – 339 ExtraBet 342 – 350 Betfair Line market LAB SPREAD RANGES —- Sporting Index 222 – 227 ExtraBet 211 – 220 Betfair Line market LD SPREAD RANGES —- Sporting Index 54 – 57 ExtraBet 53 – 54 Betfair Line market There’ve been some sharp moves on the betting markets in the wake of the latest polling. Our PB Index, which seeks to extrapolate a result based on betting prices, has the projected…
Is this a case of political cross-dressing? Thanks to those on the previous thread who pointed this out but the Lib Dems have got themselves a new livery for the general election – and there’s a heavy tinge of blue about it. Given that their main election challenge will be in trying to hold on to many of their seats in the face strong challenges from the Tories it’s hard to conclude that this is not deliberate. For incumbent Lib…
And has it missed the main story from its poll? Let there be no doubt – the latest poll from ComRes for the Independent showing that the Tory lead is down to just 7% is bad news for Cameron and his team – particularly as it follows a series of such poll findings. So why the devil has the paper ignored the main story from the poll it spent good money on and splashed a finding that does not even…
2200 – UPDATED following the lifting of the embargo CON 38% (38) LAB 31% (29) LD 19% (19) At 10pm the embargo on tonight’s ComRes poll for the Independent will be lifted and I’ll be able to fill in the gaps on the number panels above. But the paper’s Andrew Grice has already blogged that the margin is seven points – adding to a terrible series of polls for Cameron’s Tories. Since Friday night we’ve three polls from the YouGov…
Ipsos-Mori This has just come out from Ipsos-MORI – a polling question that I quite like and have featured before. The last time this was put was in July 2008 which was just about the biggest low for Brown when all the talk was of Miliband (D) launching a coup to oust him. The poll took place just after Labour lost Glasgow East. You can play about with the numbers as you wish – and no doubt people will draw…
On revised boundaries? Not possible James Lyons in the News of the World over the weekend suggested that Cameron’s team had plans to have a second general election in 2010 if, as some polls are indicating, he doesn’t have a workable majority. He also said that before the second election measures would be taken to change the boundaries so it would be fought on a “fairer basis”. Lyons wrote: “Tories… are secretly drawing up plans to ask the country to…
CON SPREAD RANGES 347 – 352 Sporting Index 343 – 348 ExtraBet 351.5 – 355.5 Betfair Line market LAB SPREAD RANGES 212 – 217 Sporting Index 213 – 218 ExtraBet 211 – 214 Betfair Line market LD SPREAD RANGES 53 – 56 Sporting Index 55 – 58 ExtraBet 53 – 53.5 Betfair Line market But the money is still well ahead of the seat projections As suggested here on Saturday morning the tightening of the Tory polling position over Labour…
Will he really stay on if Labour loses? The big story in the Sunday Times has serious implications for several betting markets if its turns out to be correct. The report opens: “Gordon Brown is making secret plans to stay on as Labour leader after the general election even if his party is defeated. The prime minister has told close colleagues that he will refuse to quit unless the Conservatives win a significant majority. “Gordon has said he believes his…