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Is the Lib Dem recovery eating into Labour’s vote? When Lord Adonis made his appeal[1] for Lib Dems to back Labour at the general election, he was basing that call on what he saw as “the fundamental Labour-Lib Dem identity of interest”. It sounds a positive message and he quotes various instances when Labour and the Lib Dems have worked together both recently and throughout their histories. There could well have been a defensive as well as a tactical reason…

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YG daily poll: The Sun Apr 9 Apr 8 CONSERVATIVES 40% 40% LABOUR 30% 31% LIB DEMS 20% 18% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6.5% 6% So tonight’s YouGov daily poll reinforces the trend that we have seen from other polls this week. A move away from Labour with the Tories either progressing a bit or holding firm Given differential swings in the marginals this puts the blue team into overall majority territory and will add to the jitters…

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Harris (Daily Mail) Apr ??? Apr 6 CONSERVATIVES 37% 37% LABOUR 27% 28% LIB DEMS 22% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6.5% 6% This morning we reported the new Harris poll in the Metro that had Labour up a point. There’s now a new survey from the firm for the Mail tomorrow that has the party down a point. So we have a ten-point lead for the blues and Labour only one point up from what Angus Reid…

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A CON – LAB swing – Eh? There’s a new poll out from Ipsos-MORI on Norwich South where ex-home secretary and fierce Brown critic, Charles Clarke, is facing a tough fight with the Tories, LDs and the Greens. The numbers with changes on the 2005 election: LAB 39%(+2): CON 20%(-2), LD 19%(-11):, GRN 19%(+12). The voting intention question listed all the candidates names as well as their parties and like with all Ipsos-MORI poll the sample was not past voted…

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Edmund from Tokyo has produced a great little widget designed to help PBers follow threads better. It’s simple to install on Firefox or Google Chrome and simple to operate. These are some of its features as Edmund explains:- An “Ignore” link will appear next to each comment. When you click on it, it will hide the text of any comments by the poster you chose to ignore. It stores this information in a cookie in your browser, so it will…

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YG daily poll: The Sun Apr 8 Apr 7 CONSERVATIVES 40% 37% LABOUR 31% 32% LIB DEMS 18% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6% 4% What does this say about the opening salvoes? After last night’s YouGov poll which was distinctly out of line with the rest we now have Cameron’s party back on 40 with Labour down at 31%. This will give real boost to the blue team and be a jolt to Brown Central which was…

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