It’s almost no change with ICM

It’s almost no change with ICM

Poll/publication End date CON (%) LAB (%) LD (%) ICM/Guardian 24/10/10 39 36 16 ICM/NOTW 22/10/10 40 36 16 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 07/10/10 38 34 18 ICM/Guardian 29/09/10 35 37 18 ICM/Guardian 15/08/10 37 37 18 ICM/Guardian 25/07/10 38 34 19 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 24/06/10 41 35 16 ICM/Guardian 20/06/10 39 31 21 ICM/Guardian 23/05/10 39 32 21 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 13/05/10 38 33 21 Opposition to the cuts doesn’t seem to be affecting voting intention The first of two telephone polls that…

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BBC apologises for the EdM results cock-up?

BBC apologises for the EdM results cock-up?

But will they ever learn – WE WANT THE FECKING NUMBERS The BBC has this afternoon apologised for the total Horlicks it made of its spacial programme on Saturday September 25th when the results in Labour’s leadership election were being announced. It will be recalled that some cretin decided it was smarter to have Nick Robinson talk over the announcement of what was a complex set of numbers coming, as it turned out to entirely the wrong conclusion. Robinson should…

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Should Clegg have confessed to…being a smoker?

Should Clegg have confessed to…being a smoker?

Has he broken what’s become the ultimate taboo? Extraordinarily one of the most covered political stories this morning is the “confession”, if that is the right word, that Nick Clegg made to Kirsty Young on Radio 4s Desert Island Discs that he likes to smoke. The “revelation” came at the end of the programme when he revealed that his “luxury on a desert island” would be “a stash of cigarettes.” I like Nicholas Lezard’s article on this in the Guardian…

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Is talk of a post election coalition premature?

Is talk of a post election coalition premature?

Could Old & Sad upset the good relations? After a week in which the coalition has broadly withstood what has probably been its biggest test it’s inevitable that speculation has resumed over the partnership continuing after the next election. This has been fuelled by comments said to have been made in private by Francis Maude suggesting that the coalition should continue even if the Tories won a majority. Ex-Tory front bencher and now ConHome writer, Paul Goodman, has made his…

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Did Labour lose “The Cuts – Week 1”?

Did Labour lose “The Cuts – Week 1”?

“Who’s to blame for the cuts?” (YouGov) All voters CON voters LAB voters LD voters CON-LD coalition 17 1 39 5 Last Labour government 47 93 6 65 Both 20 3 29 13 Neither 11 2 24 11 “Last Labour government bears most responsibility” (ComRes) All voters CON at GE LAB at GE LD at GE Agree 59 87 32 56 Disagree 36 12 63 40 Will EdM’s party floundering on the “blame” issue? As I have been arguing during…

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Boost for Tories in first post CSR phone poll

Boost for Tories in first post CSR phone poll

Poll/publication End date CON (%) LAB (%) LD (%) ICM/NOTW 22/10/10 40 36 16 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 07/10/10 38 34 18 ICM/Guardian 29/09/10 35 37 18 ICM/Guardian 15/08/10 37 37 18 ICM/Guardian 25/07/10 38 34 19 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 24/06/10 41 35 16 ICM/Guardian 20/06/10 39 31 21 ICM/Guardian 23/05/10 39 32 21 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 13/05/10 38 33 21 And the LD total is sharply in contrast with YouGov There’s a new ICM poll just out for tomorrow’s News of the World…

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What if this week had been general election week?

What if this week had been general election week?

Would Cameron have won an overall majority? There’ve been lots of counter-factuals around today following this snippet from the Indy’s Andrew Grice:- “Last Thursday was ringed in my diary with the words “general election?” I pencilled it in when the May election resulted in a hung parliament and there seemed every chance that a minority Conservative government would soldier on until David Cameron asked for a proper mandate and a second election…” The main argument against there being an overall…

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The leadership ratings – the break-down

The leadership ratings – the break-down

David Cameron David Cameron “doing well/badly (YouGov) All % CON voters LAB voters LD voters Well 54 98 14 76 Badly 39 2 80 19 Don’t know 7 0 5 4 Ed Miliband Ed Miliband “doing well/badly (YouGov) All % CON voters LAB voters LD voters Well 34 20 67 33 Badly 32 45 12 37 Don’t know 34 35 21 19 Nick Clegg Nick Clegg “doing well/badly” (YouGov) All % CON voters LAB voters LD voters Well 38 72…

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