Is he worth a 4/6 punt? Ladbrokes report that there have been “substantial wagers” that Chris Huhne will be next cabinet minster to depart and have now made him 4/6. The firm is also offered 1/3 on him surviving until the end of the month and 2/1 that he won’t. If you think he’s going then that last bet offers far more value the next exit one. We’ve been here before of course with information from the same source and…
Will electors vote against the party they want to stop? The above chart seeks to graphically represent data in Denis Kavanagh’s and Philip Cowley’s The British General Election of 2010 showing the mean vote changes of the main parties in different categories of seats based on which came first and second in 2005. In doing it gives an interesting picture of what happened with, perhaps, some pointers to next time. The Labour vote showed the largest range with, interestingly, the…
More of Marf’s PB cartoons can be found at LondonSketchbook.com. Many PBers have bought either originals or prints which make good presents. Note Tomorrow I’ll be putting a donate button on the site – part of the proceeds will go to supporting Marf’s work. Mike Smithson
His entry: 32.02% against the actual 32.1% – so pretty Daan close! The PB/William Hill AV prediction competition has been won by Daan Arroo who is a first-year physics student at Durham University. He now receives the prize of £1,000 worth of free bets with William Hill. He tells me that he and voted for Labour and YES and goes on: “While I would have liked to see our voting system changed (although I’d have preferred changing it to STV…
BBC News After all the speculation we now have the ruling on David Laws – the Lib Dem cabinet minsters who lasted just 17 days last May after the Telegraph made allegation about his expense claims. The report accepts that his motivation was to protect his privacy but goes on to say that “Whatever his motives and subsequent behaviour, Mr Laws was guilty of a series series of breaches of the rules”. He’ll be suspended from the Commons for seven…
You have either got “it†or you haven’t Is it possible for you to put yourself in the place of an ordinary voter without a particularly strong party allegiance one way or the other? Imagine you catch a glimpse of these two first time on video. Unfortunately the sound is turned down. Now, answer this question immediately …… Which of these two do you think would make the best Prime Minister? There, you now know which of the two main…
More of Marf’s PB cartoons can be found at her site – LondonSketchbook.com.
Latest PAPA CON 37: LAB 38.6: LD 11.8 The latest PAPA, the Politicalbetting All Pollsters’ Average has Labour with its smallest lead over the Tories since November 2010 and if the trend shown in the chart continues we could be heading another cross-over. Even the latest YouGov – which has had Miliband’s party in the 40s in every single poll in 2011, has the gap down to just two points. Certainly the Tories appear to be getting a polling boost…