The Libyan intervention: Making sense of contradictory polls

The Libyan intervention: Making sense of contradictory polls

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Pollster/publication Question wording Date Right % Wrong % YouGov for the Sun Do you think Britain, France, the US and other countries are right or wrong to take military action in Libya? 20/03/11 to 21/03/11 45 36 Pollster/publication Question wording Date Agree % Disagree % ComRes online for ITV news It is right for the UK to take military action against Colonel Gadafi’s forces in Libya 18/03/11 to 20/03/11 35 43 Is it down to timing and the wording? At 10pm…

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ComRes finds only lukewarm support for the Libyan action

ComRes finds only lukewarm support for the Libyan action

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ComRes/ITV News poll sampled online from Friday until Sunday Response % It is right for the UK to take military action against Colonel Gaddafi’s forces in Libya   Agree 35 Disagree 43 Don’t know 22 I feel I have a good understanding of why the UK is planning military action in Libya   Agree 52 Disagree 29 Don’t know 18 Military action in Libya is an unnecessary risk for Britain to take   Agree 49 Disagree 31 Don’t know 20 The international…

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Does anybody give a monkey’s about the referendum?

Does anybody give a monkey’s about the referendum?

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My conversation with the ex-MP after a day’s canvassing Over the weekend I had a long phone conversation with a former MP (not Lib Dem) who is campaigning hard for his party for the local elections in May. He told me that to test the water on AV he began asking about the referendum which is on the same day. The responses, he recalled, were striking. Not only did the electors he spoke to not have view a significant segment…

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Will Dave ever be able to satisfy the red-tops?

Will Dave ever be able to satisfy the red-tops?

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How is this all going to end? The mood of the daily tabloids after the first weekend of military intervention is perhaps less gung-ho than we’ve been used to. Certainly there’s a big shadow from Labour’s intervention in Iraq hanging over the whole business and Cameron seems determined not to be seen to be making the same mistakes. First we had the UN resolutions to make it legal in international law, then we’ve had repeated assurances that the legal advice…

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Has Cameron created a Euro Force?

Has Cameron created a Euro Force?

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The weekly Jonathan on Sunday slot The close cooperation of Sarkozy and Cameron has been one of the most interesting features of the Libyan Crisis. Europe’s two leading military powers have rarely worked together more closely. They used their seat at the UN Security council effectively. With the US prepared to take a back seat, are we seeing the development of a new European military capability? On Cameron’s watch, is Europe taking another step towards statehood? Last November, Cameron and…

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Does the manner of Sarah’s selection make her “party-proof”?

Does the manner of Sarah’s selection make her “party-proof”?

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S Telegraph What can the whips do about the open primary winner? Of all the 650 MPs who were elected last May Sarah Wollaston was almost unique. For she became Tory candidate following an open primary in July 2009 in which every elector in Totnes, irrespective of their party allegiance, was sent a postal ballot. Other Conservative candidates were selected by so-called primaries but only in the Devon seat and in Gosport did the blues go to the expense of…

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Will an air campaign be enough?

Will an air campaign be enough?

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Or is a ground war the only way of removing Gaddafi? Lots of developments tonight following the launch by the coalition forces of the joint military action to protect civilians in Libya. The worry is how this will come to an end and isn’t there a danger that Gaddafi will just be able to stay in place unless there’s a ground campaign to remove him? Saddam, after all, managed to remain in place in Iraq with a no-fly zone above…

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