Perry moves into the favourite slot

Perry moves into the favourite slot

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Betfair Politics And one-time 2nd favourite Pawlenty quits the race There’s been a fair bit of activity on the betting markets following the formal announcement of Rick Perry’s declaration that he’s running and the aftermath of yesterday’s straw poll at Ames, Iowa. The Texas governor, Rick Perry, has edged into the favourite slot on Betfair while Pawlenty is to make a statement today that he’s pulling out. He was the big loser yesterday in Aimes after throwing a huge amount…

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YouGov: Clegg gets the biggest riot week boost

YouGov: Clegg gets the biggest riot week boost

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But all three leaders see improvements The weekly leader ratings from YouGov are just out and all three see an increase in their “doing well” figures and a decline in the “doing badly” rating. The biggest change has been for Nick Clegg who sees the positive number going up by four with a similar drop in the negative one making an eight point net change. The LD leader still has the smallest positive number and the biggest negative one. Miliband…

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As Bachmann heads for victory in Aimes – Enter Rick Perry

As Bachmann heads for victory in Aimes – Enter Rick Perry

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Will all the signs suggesting that Michelle Bachmann is heading for victory in the Aimes Straw poll – the first electoral test of the 2012 race – the big news tonight is likely to be the entry into the contest of Texas governor, Rick Perry. Bachmann’s victory, expected to be announced in the next half hour, enhances the credibility of her campaign, help with fundraising and also puts the spotlight on the losers. Although the Aimes event has no binding…

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Will today show how strong Bachmann really is?

Will today show how strong Bachmann really is?

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Can she win the Ames Straw poll? In a few hours time thousands of Republican party activists will be arriving at the Iowa state university campus in Ames for what has become the traditional kick off in the party’s race to find it’s candidate for the White House. Early next year the state should be the first to hold a primary – in its case through the caucus system – and a good performance today is critical for several of…

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Will Miliband’s ‘British Promise’ become a millstone?

Will Miliband’s ‘British Promise’ become a millstone?

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Is it the wrong time to assert unearned rights? In the emergency parliamentary debate on the riots this week both David Cameron and Ed Miliband used the disturbances as evidence in support of concepts that are clearly key to how they see their leaderships and what they want to address or to deliver through them: the Broken Society in David Cameron’s case, and the British Promise in Ed Miliband’s. The Labour leader’s is the more interesting of the two at…

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ICM: Just 30pc say Dave has done “good job” on riots

ICM: Just 30pc say Dave has done “good job” on riots

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Another poll has voters backing the police over politicians The Guardian has an ICM poll just out asking for reactions on the riots. It was carried out online and the fieldwork finished last night – so it’s much more up to date than the YouGov numbers featured here this morning. The “good job/bad job” figures are shown in the chart above with Dave on 30% for “good job” to 44% for “bad job”. Acting Commissioner Tim Godwin, meanwhile has a…

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Will the Tories conspire to lose the Law and Order battle?

Will the Tories conspire to lose the Law and Order battle?

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Henry G Manson on the riots aftermath The Conservatives should win the law and order debate hands down. Always. Their MPs traditionally go further than any other party and understandably there’s a huge appetite for tough action on those involved in rioting. Yet the failure to budge on the 20% cuts to policing leaves the government wide open to attack from Labour and parts of the Conservative-inclined press too. There are so many things to be said about the recent…

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