Q Your predictions for 2012: Women cabinet ministers
Which of these 5 women will still be in the cabinet at the end of 2012? (Tick all that apply) Baroness Warsi Theresa May Justine Greening Cheryl Gillan Caroline Spelman pollcode.com free polls
Henry G Manson peers into his crystal ball
Will 2012 bring tests for all three party leaders? First up in January David Cameron needs to make a judgement call on a tricky little situation involving Aidan Burley MP. The Conservatives are currently investigating the situation that resulted in the MP for Cannock Chase being present at a Nazi-themed stag party in a French Restaurant, praising the Third Reich and allegedly hiring the costume. To make things worse Burley, now shorn of his PPS role and of future Ministerial…
Q Your predictions for 2012: LDs in cabinet on 31/12/12
Which of these Lib Dems will still be in the cabinet at the end of 2012? (Tick all that apply) Chris Huhne Vince Cable Danny Alexander Nick Clegg Michael Moore
Suddenly the momentum is with Santorum
Is he now in with a shout in Iowa? With just five campaigning days to go before Tuesday’s Iowa caucuses there’s been huge movement in a CNN/Time poll in the state. These are the shares with changes on the last similar poll three weeks ago: Romney 25% (+5) Paul 2% (+3) Santorum 16% (+11) Gingrich 14% (-19) Perry 11% (+2) Bachmann 9% (+2) Huntsman 1% (-3) The survey came out only a few hours after US political analyst, Nate Silver,…
Now the voting for the PB Poster of the Year
After experimenting with approval voting for the first two sections of this years election a different approach is being taken for the main ballot. Rather than putting a tick beside the contender of your choice you are asked to rate each of them by clicking on the stars. This is known as range voting – see here. Note that if you do not rate a candidate then that person’s score will be the average from voters who did make a…
As the US primary season kicks off ..A punters’ guide
How best to avoid the traps and win the prizes? The US presidential election is one of the best in which serious money can be made because of the large number of candidates who might eventually triumph, because it’s not usually clear until relatively late in the day who the final two will be, because the fact that there are only two candidates late on mean bets can be easily laid off without needing exchanges (though Betfair does tend to…
The White House betting edges back to Obama
Betfair Politics The main overall White House race market on Betfair is this one – on which party will win the election in November. Clearly at the moment we don’t know who the GOP candidate will be and whether there could be a third contender. Donald Trump has been mentioned as has Ron Paul should he not get the Republican nomination. We’ve also seen Obama’s approval ratings edging back up and generally these can be a good pointer. In the…
Do we approve of the approval voting system?
How are you liking the system for this year’s POTY elections? As PB regulars will recall we generally hold our Poster of the Year elections using first past the post. Twelve months ago, after the formal voting had taken place, Rod Crosby staged an experimental ballot using the AV system – which was to be the subject of the referendum a few months later. This year, as an experiment, we are using a system that has not been seen much…