UPDATED NBC News is projecting Romney will win MI. — Chuck Todd (@chucktodd) February 29, 2012 NBC has now called Michigan for Romney – all the networks called Arizona for Romney almost as soon as polls closed. @MikeSmithsonOGH
It’s a massive night in the Republican party’s process to select a candidate to take on Barack Obama in November. This is what GOP strategist Matthew Dowd told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos today: “If Rick Santorum wins tonight it’s the equivalent of a 9.0 on a Richter scale. I mean it is going to shake Washington, it’s going to shake Republican establishment it’s just going to shake things to their very core. And I think what you’re going to see are…
Telegraph
UPDATED Will Democrat “cross-overs” give him the edge? It’s election day in Michigan and the final poll from Public Policy Polling, based on telephone surveys last night, has reported a sharp move back to Santorum in the crucial primary. This is Romney’s home state and is a “must-win”. On Sunday night PPP had had him with a 2% lead. Last night the firm has found Santorum to be 5% ahead. It’s now Santorum 39%, Romney 34%, Paul 15%, Gingrich 10%….
Most people say “Tax the rich” to help poor A majority of people want George Osborne to raise taxes for the rich in next month’s Budget in order to take more low paid workers out of tax, according to a ComRes survey for The Independent. 60% of those sampled support the LDs main budget demand while 34% disagree. I am wary of polling like this – generally speaking people support tax increases that don’t affect them but oppose those that…
Betfair Politics Should Ken be better than a 36% chance? All the polling in the past couple of months has had May’s London mayoral election as what US pollsters term – “a statistical tie”. Ken’s been up by 2 and so has Boris but the lead is toggling between the two. The latest has the Tory in the lead. In the national polls Labour is in a vastly difference position than four years ago when their share was mostly in…
Can a Mitt Michigan victory answer his doubters The latest Michigan surveys from Public Policy Polling suggests that Mitt Romney is heading for a victory in his home state of Michigan. A fortnight ago the firm had Santorum 15% ahead there. The pollster is superb for getting information out early and the latest numbers are based on fieldwork last night which only closed two or three hours ago. It also uses Twitter very effectively. Mitt Romney’s at 39% to 37%…
This is our overnight open thread. Mike Smithson @MikeSmithsonOGH