Marf on the jobless news
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Who is getting the most out of this – Dave or Barack?
Is Obama showing he can work with a Conservative? With less than seven months to go before he faces country Barack Obama is giving Dave the full treatment in Washington today. The weather is superb and the pictures could not be better. For Obama it’s useful that Cameron is a Conservative given the onslaught he’ll face from the right in the coming months. Cameron has been careful not to meet any of the contenders for the GOP nomination on his…
Yet again Santorum defies the polling
Google politics One thing clear: the checkered past of primary pre-election polling in AL/MS didn’t improve any tonight. All polls understated Santorum — Mark Blumenthal (@MysteryPollster) March 14, 2012 Santorum’s tendency to outperform his polling averages is statistically significant. — Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) March 14, 2012 After failing in Alabama and Mississippi will Newt pull out? If like me you believed the polling then you won’t have made any money on the Alabama and Mississippi primaries. Yet extraordinarily the unlikely…
Yet another US election night for PB NightHawks
If you thought that it was all over with Super Tuesday last week then think again. We’ve got three tonight – Alabama, Mississippi and Hawaii. There is also American Samoa (thanks to Chris g00 for reminding me) which has 9 delegates. The big interest will be in the first two where the polling has it very tight. Have a good night. Mike Smithson @MikeSmithsonOGH
The deep south: Where just 12 pc think that Obama is a Christian
And barely 1 in 5 believe in evolution Two of today’s primaries in the race to become the Republican party nominee are in the deep south – the neighbouring states of Alabama (50 delegates) and Mississippi (40 delegates). The polling suggests that both could be very close with only two points separating the three main contenders in Alabama – Gingrich, Romney and Santorum. In Mississippi Gingrich is just two points ahead of Romney with Santorum a further four points behind….
Has Obama’s re-election price become too tight?
Next president Betfair Politics The price of gasoline: Something a president can do a lot about 54% / Beyond any president’s control 36% (CBS/NYT Poll) j.mp/xC5102 — PollingReport.com (@pollreport) March 13, 2012 Obama’s approval rate drops to new low in new poll…pwire.at/yZo7Ey — Taegan Goddard (@politicalwire) March 12, 2012 Could he be punished for rising gas prices? A new poll just out has Obama’s approval ratings moving to a new low. According to the latest CBS survey just 41% of…
Monday night in the PB NightHawks cafe
Next week on PB We are having short break in the border country near Berwick and I won’t be posting much on the site. If anybody has got ideas for guest slots then please drop me an email. @MikeSmithsonOGH
How can the blues neutralise the NHS as an election issue?
Or has the Lansley plan muddied the waters for years? It now seems likely that before Easter the Lansley NHS changes, in a much amended form, will be approved by parliament. The question for the Tories is how much is going to be remembered come general election day. Will they say, for instance, give us a majority and we’ll implement it in full? I doubt it. As poll after poll has shown the NHS remains a toxic issue issues the…