So is Hollande now a certainty for round 2?

So is Hollande now a certainty for round 2?

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Google politics with 99.9% reporting Could Sarkozy be worth a 5/1 bet? Overnight Nickolas Sarkozy became the first sitting French president to fail to win round one of a presidential election. His margin of defeat was a touch closer than some of the polls were predicting but there’s little doubt that his Socialist party opponent, Francois Hollande has the momentum for the second round run off a week on Sunday. The surprise was the good showing of Marine Le Pen…

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France 2012 Round One – Election Night

France 2012 Round One – Election Night

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Wikimedia Commons Leaked results show Hollande doing well overseas The first French polling stations close at 6pm local time tonight (5pm UK) and the last two hours later, but already there have been leaked unofficial results via Swiss media which show Socialist challenger Hollande doing well in the French overseas territories (the DOM-TOM) in the Americas, with swings of about 20% in Guadeloupe. It’s expected that Hollande and Sarkzoy will progess comfortably through to the second round in two weeks’…

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Remember when UKIP was going to take out John Bercow?

Remember when UKIP was going to take out John Bercow?

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ConservativeHome poll September 2009 Why’s Farage’s party so poor at the ground war? This post has been going round my head since Thursday night’s PB party following a couple of conversations with those who were there. The first was an observation from John O, a regular since the early days of the site, about how few PBers appeared to have little direct experience of the grunt work and expertise required to win elections on the ground. The second was with…

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LAB extends its lead with ComRes online

LAB extends its lead with ComRes online

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ComRes for IoS/SM: Con 34%(-3), Lab 40%(-), LD 11%(+1), UKIP 6%(-), Others 9%(+2) ht.ly/aqKcu — Andrew Hawkins (@Andrew_ComRes) April 21, 2012 ComRes: 29% say Dave turning to be good PM/ 22% saying Cl egg good LD leaderwith only 18% saying EdM good Lab leader. PAGING DAN HODGES — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) April 21, 2012 ComRes – on leader disapproval Ed is at:49%/ Dave 50%/Nick 52% — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) April 21, 2012 Indy/S Mirror poll: Cameron and Osborne fall from…

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The closing polls look even better for Hollande

The closing polls look even better for Hollande

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Is this the end of the road for Sarkozy? As we move into the final hours of the French presidential campaign all the signs point to both a victory for the Socialist, Francois Hollander in the first round of voting tomorrow and in the second round two weeks later. The best betting price you can get is 1/8 with PaddyPower while other bookies are as tight as 1/10. There had been suggestions that the incumbent, Sarkozy might squeeze a lead…

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Will the IMF loan give George another headache?

Will the IMF loan give George another headache?

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Are there more government PR problem in the offing? It’s no coincidence that none of the additional $400bn the IMF is raising from its members has come from the USA. There are elections there this year and neither members of Congressmen nor the president would be likely to be thanked by the electors for being seen to send scarce resources overseas to rescue spendthrift governments. The decision of George Osborne to authorise British funding of £10bn loan to the IMF…

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Just two days to go before France votes..

Just two days to go before France votes..

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What are the best bets? The first round of voting in the French Presidential election takes place on Sunday with the second round scheduled for a fortnight later. The system is that the top two this weekend go forward to the final round provided no candidate has got more than 50% of the vote. At the PB party last night the consensus was that the Socialist contender, Francois Hollande, would win both the first and second rounds of voting –…

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