Is Tony Blair man to keep Scotland in the Union

Is Tony Blair man to keep Scotland in the Union

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  There have been several reports that Alastair Darling has identified Tony Blair to be the figurehead of the Unionist campaign in the upcoming referendum. Will the participation of the most electorally successful politician of his era, be a help or a hindrance? Over at CIF, this move is seen as Labour being in denial. http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/may/21/tony-blair-scotland-union-labour Personally, I think Tony Blair remains one of the few politicians in the country, that can match Alex Salmond on the charisma and PR front….

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Guardian ICM Labour lead down to 5

Guardian ICM Labour lead down to 5

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  Conservatives 36 (+3) Labour 41 (nc) LD 11 (-4) Others 12 (+1) Alarming for the the Lib Dems, they have hit a 15 year low with ICM. For David Cameron, the trend with the other pollsters is mirrored here, as his personal ratings have fallen, where he is now in a dead heat with Ed Miliband on the leadership ratings. The coalition retain their lead on the economic front, with some 44% prefer Cameron and chancellor George Osborne, as…

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Will UKIP win most votes at the 2014 Euro elections?

Will UKIP win most votes at the 2014 Euro elections?

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Welcome to PB’s holiday servicae I am now heading for a much needed to break in Spain and PB will not be operating a normal service. TSE has joined the guest editor team and will be looking after things. There will still be threads and TSE will be monitoring the polls. There will also be regular PB prediction polls like the one we had yesterday on Jeremy Hunt which, in as they used to say on Blue Peter, was prepared…

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Should Dave stop being a PB lurker?

Should Dave stop being a PB lurker?

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Should we find the reports a bit scary? There’s a new book out which reports that Dave is a frequent follower of “political betting websites” which he comes to for polling analysis. While PB is not mentioned specifically this is the only site that fits the bill. We already knew from the Kavanagh/Cowley book on the 2010 general election that this is one of his favourite sites and I have had it reported to me over the weekend from a…

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Finding out about current UKIP supporters

Finding out about current UKIP supporters

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Are the blues right to think that the purples will return? The two big moves in opinion since the general election have been the Lib Dem collapse with the switch to Labour and now the rise of UKIP. The former has been studied at length but there’s been very little polling data on the latter. One challenge is that of all the pollsters only ComRes provides cross-tabs on UKIP supporters. In its latest poll Comres also has the question “Which,…

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LAB increases it’s lead by 4pc with ComRes online

LAB increases it’s lead by 4pc with ComRes online

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CON 32%-2 LAB 41%+2 LD 11%+1 UKIP 7%-2 David Cameron is turning out to be a good Prime Minister Agree 26% (-3) Disagree 54% (+4) Net agree -28 (-7) Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour Party Agree 26% (+8) Disagree 45% (-4) Net agree -19 (+12 ) Nick Clegg is turning out to be a good leader of the Liberal Democrats Agree 20% (-2) Disagree 56% (+4) Net agree -36 (-6) I trust…

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Will Greece make a Drachma out of a crisis?

Will Greece make a Drachma out of a crisis?

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David Herdson on Saturday The current and next phases of the Eurocrisis is all about who will prevail when the irresistible force of the Greek electorate meets the immovable object of Angela Merkal and the Greek debt-holders. Without funds from the international institutions, Greece will default. Those funds will not be forthcoming if Greece doesn’t implement the policies that were part of the deal. Those policies won’t be enacted unless Greece has a government committed to them. Five of the…

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