Is one Ed better than two?

Is one Ed better than two?

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Over the last few days, several newspapers have had articles mentioning disharmony between Eds Miliband and Balls. The Guardian observed  the Labour leader, who promoted Balls to the post of shadow chancellor against his better instincts after the surprise resignation of Alan Johnson, is finding him hard work and secretive. The Times noted that Ed Miliband saw at first hand the worst of the disputes between Tony Blair and Gordon Brown, and is unlikely to make the mistake of  Tony…

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Most Americans Still Predict Obama Will Win 2012 Election

Most Americans Still Predict Obama Will Win 2012 Election

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Gallup have released some polling, one of which asks, Regardless of whom you support, and trying to be as objective as possible, who do you think will win the election in November. Barack Obama 58% (+2%) Mitt Romney 36%  (nc) The changes are from the last time they asked the question in May. Given the closeness in the Voting Intention polling, the 22% lead is interesting, and for Mitt Romney, probably disheartening, given “Americans’ prediction of who will win is significant…

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ICM Polling in the Guardian VI added

ICM Polling in the Guardian VI added

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  The Guardian has published an excerpt of their monthly ICM poll. On the net satisfaction ratings, David Cameron still leads Ed Miliband minus 12 to minus 13. Nick Clegg’s net satisfaction rating is minus 26. Following on from the reports on problems in the relationship between Ed Miliband and Ed Balls, the ICM net rating when asked if Ed Miliband is doing a good job is minus 13%, for Ed Balls it is minus 8%. The Guardian notes Balls…

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Are Vince’s strong polling numbers a threat to Clegg?

Are Vince’s strong polling numbers a threat to Clegg?

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Would the yellows poll better with him named as leader? Net “Stay/Sack” William Hague 42.9% Vince Cable 23.6% Iain Duncan Smith 22.2% Caroline Spellman 19.3% Philip Hammond 17.6% Ken Clarke 16.2% Jeremy Hunt 2.2% Michael Gove 0.6% Theresa May 0.3% Andrew Lansley -2.3% Baroness Warsi -15% George Osborne -16.4% As we saw last week with the Lib Dem Voice survey of activists there’s a lot of interest in the party leadership – something that will be magnified as we get…

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Tim Montgomerie’s advice to David Cameron.

Tim Montgomerie’s advice to David Cameron.

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In today’s Times, Tim Montgomerie has an article, offering some advice to David Cameron, to help him deal with his current problems. He points out despite the “omnishambles” of recent months, the polling shows that the electorate still prefer David Cameron to Ed Miliband as Prime Minister, and on the economic front, David Cameron and George Osborne lead the two Eds on the economy, despite George Osborne’s unpopularity and the fact we’re currently in a double-dip recession. To tap into…

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Will Westminster stage the Independence referendum before Alex does?

Will Westminster stage the Independence referendum before Alex does?

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The Sunday Times are running a story that, if Alex Salmond doesn’t agree to a single question referendum, then Westminster will organise the referendum for next year, and not devolve the necessary section 30 order allowing Holyrood to organise a legal referendum. SNP plans to hold a referendum plans without the necessary order, would leave the result open to years of legal challenges, something that SNP strategists acknowledge as very problematic, that needs to be avoided. The Conservative, Labour and Liberal…

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New Survation poll out

New Survation poll out

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Conservatives 30 (+1) Labour 37 (nc) UKIP 12 (+1) Lib Dems 10 (-3) The changes are from the last Survation poll in June. They polled on behalf of the Mail on Sunday, they asked about various cabinet ministers, and should they be kept or fired. 44% want Ken Clarke to remain, whilst 28% want him fired. Support for Mr Clarke keeping his place is highest among Liberal Democrat voters, with only 11 per cent of them believing he should leave the…

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