Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, why not delurk tonight, Everyone’s a winner if you do delurk. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Gove or May as Tory leader? No, Boris is still the grassroots’ favourite – and by a country mile Exclusive polling shows that Boris Johnson…
The “ever so stable poll” ain’t any longer Above in the chart are the figures for today’s Populus online poll which show a big change on Monday’s survey. As can be seen the Tories are down 5 and UKIP up 4. I asked the firm whether there have been any weighting or other methodological changes which might explain such a big shift in such a short period of time. The response I got from Rick Nye is below:- “No. But…
LAB has put huge effort into taking back #Thetford W from UKIP – a seat they lost by 1 vote on May 2. See pic.twitter.com/jfbKfhKFzG — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 1, 2013 Tonight's results mean that UKIP has lost every seat won on May 2nd which they have had to defend in a by-election — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 1, 2013 But it’s not all been negative for the purples It might be August but it’s been a big night of…
Codnor and Waingroves on Amber Valley (Lab Defence) Last Local Election (2012): Con 24, Lab 21 (Conservative overall majority of 3) Ward Results (during last electoral cycle) 2010: Lab 1,159 (43%), Con 1,127 (42%), BNP 391 (15%) 2011: No Election 2012: Lab 825 (58%), Con 339 (24%), UKIP 198 (14%), BNP 59 (4%) In the 1970 general election, one sight above all showed what a shock result that election was for Harold Wilson, Belper (a seat that in 1966 had…
It’s been quite a while since we have had an Assembly by-election (in fact well over seven years), but Ynys Môn is a by-election without compare. Firstly, the former member is still with us. Ieuan Wyn Jones may have resigned from the Assembly but as the new chairman of the enterprise zone centred on Menai Bridge, who is to say that once that task has been completed he might decide to come back to the Assembly on the regional list…
By 58% to 21% those sampled in new Survation poll want the East Coast main line to stay in public ownership pic.twitter.com/aDF8XhuJuw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 1, 2013 The poll gave two options is this form:- The East Coast Main Line should remain in public ownership, as it is now better run than it was when privatised and is returning profits to the Treasury The East Coast Main Line should now go back to being privatised like other rail…
Home of the web’s best political conversation If you’re going to be up, All Night Long, why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, Hello,  why not delurk tonight, if you do delurk, I’m sure you’ll be Dancing on the Ceiling in excitement. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Boris Johnson will not stand for…
Look how the industry has declined How the circulations of national newspapers have declined since GE2010 See table pic.twitter.com/4FTguIS1Ld — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 31, 2013 The ground war is going to matter much more than the air war We spend a lot of time on PB trying to assess the impact of specific developments or stories on voting behaviour. One factor that we should bear in mind is that the national media is in a sharp decline. For every five…