Which leader do you think is most likely to go first? David Cameron Ed Miliband Nick Clegg Nigel Farage Up to the end of July I thought that Ed Miliband was the leader most secure in his post with Cameron and Clegg fighting it out for second place. Now that has changed quite rapidly as we saw with the “Labour Insider’s” guest slot a couple of days ago on how EdM became much more vulnerable with the exit…
Latest William Hill http://t.co/MbilRLa6MQ prices on the next government CON maj 3/1: CON:LD coalition 7/1 See all pic.twitter.com/z8xPUrcFsl — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 21, 2013 At 8/1 the current best value GE2015 bet is the “other” option in the William Hill list above. That there’ll be no overall majority but there’ll be no coalition formed. Over the last few days we’ve seen the reports of leading CON backbenchers demanding a formal role in agreeing the next coalition if the outcome on seats…
Boris: Ed Miliband is just like Stalin because he "shafted" his brother http://t.co/bMpcjk5WJP — Sun Politics (@Sun_Politics) August 21, 2013 One of the strategies that the Tories were said to have agreed on before the recess was to stop referring to the way that Ed Miliband won the party leadership by “shafting” his brother. The reasoning was that this act, on the face of it, rather conflicts with their attempt to portray EdM as being weak and ineffectual. Well the…
Home of the web’s best political conversation If you’re Footloose, and fancy free tonight, why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, why not delurk tonight, don’t worry, delurking isn’t the Highway to The Danger Zone. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Is Ed Miliband heading for the same grisly fate as Gordon Brown? (Ed is also…
If Ed survives till the end of October he should be okay If (and it’s still a big if) Ed M leaves before election then Yvette will almost certainly take over. She’s been conspicuous by her silence this summer. Shocking really. If however Ed M disappoints at general election then Andy Burnham will also go for it and have a pretty decent chance as will Chuka Umunna. The trouble for Ed is that his team around him is so weak…
New ICM poll for Mirror ratchets up the pressure on EdM http://t.co/zzfiy4giAn Fewer than half LAB voters satisfied pic.twitter.com/vcwlNe8uEc — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 20, 2013 Is his survival till GE2015 looking less likely? There some new polling from ICM for the LAB friendly Mirror, linked to in the Tweet above, that’s certain to add to party’s jitters even though the voting intention trend continues to be for Labour. Overall just 21% of those polled said they were satisfied with his…
The 1922 Committee chair, Graham Grady was on the World at One this lunchtime repeating one of the great myths about the formation of the coalition in May 2010. He said that he’d have preferred a minority CON government – but it is hard to see where there was a point when that was going to be possible. I’ve made this point before but Gord had all the cards in his hand on May 7th 2010. The Tories had failed…
Latest overall majority Betfair betting based on last trades. Price on CON maj now easing back pic.twitter.com/A8QezAwg4F — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 18, 2013 No overall majority remains the favourite Compared with the run up to previous general elections betting on GE2015 has been relatively light for one big reason – we know when the election will be taking place and punters are, rightly, less keen to lock their stakes up for more than eighteen months in advance. Just compare…