Latest Ipsos-MORI poll sees LAB lead down to 3 points and Ed’s satisfaction ratings at William Hague levels
Ipsos-MORI headline figures just those certain to vote Amongst all those sampled by LAB lead 10 See pic.twitter.com/ehp7Mthk3B — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2013 All 4 main party leaders slip, though EdM the worst, in Ipsos-MORI satisfaction ratings. See pic.twitter.com/AqALmRGVdw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2013 EdM's Ipsos-MORI satisfaction ratings now at William Hague levels. See trend chart pic.twitter.com/imwaazQfcj — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2013 In spite of this LAB still taking 31% of 2010 LDs Mike Smithson
Tim Farron – The Lib Dem leader at the General Election?
Since the Syria vote a lot of the attention and comment has been focussed upon the Leadership of Dave and Ed, trying to work who was and will be the winner and the loser from the Syria vote. But what of Nick Clegg? He was dealt a damaging blow to his leadership as 24 out of his 57 MPs, including the Party President Tim Farron, revolted over his backing of military intervention in Syria. Tim Farron has a history of not…
Nighthawks is now open
Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, why not delurk tonight, cross the Rubicon, from lurking to posting. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) George Osborne takes aim at Labour’s record in opposition What Osborne won’t admit: growth has increased because of slower cuts Who donates what to…
If EdM retains the 2010 LD>LAB switchers then it is job well done
EdM at TUC Only thing that matters electorally is that LAB keeps 2010 LDs who've switched My view: nothing's changed pic.twitter.com/8mAI3VMgS2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 10, 2013 It’s been a big day for Ed Miliband and I got the sense that many of the media reps went away from his TUC speech disappointed that the story they were expecting didn’t happen. For there was no booing or other obvious disent only a fairly lukewarm response from delegates. But that doesn’t matter…
Time to bring on a replacement: Yvette Cooper should be shadow chancellor in place of her husband
Sport here: according to #FT some around @Ed_Miliband think @edballsmp "may have to be sacrificed unless things turn around" — Benedict Brogan (@benedictbrogan) September 10, 2013 LAB slips further on the economy When Ed Balls was made shadow chancellor in January 2011 the Tories had a lead of just 2% in YouGov’s tracker on best party on the economy. Today’s YouGov has that at 7% which equals the largest Tory lead this year. Even more worrying for Labour is that…
Fewer than one in five rate rank renegotiating with the EU as a top government priority
New test of salience of issues from TNS-BMRB As we’ve discussed many times here before the salience of an issue can be as important as establishing what people’s view are. Tonight’s sees a new polling question from TNS BMRB which lists a series of possible priorities and asks respondents to select up to three of them. The outcome is seen in the chart above. As can be seen just 19% of the sample placed renegotiating with the EU in their…
Why Ed Miliband can take some comfort from Tony Abbott’s victory in Australia
In July he was 14% behind as “preferred Prime Minister” One footnote from the last week’s Austrailian general election and the change of government is that the new prime minister trailed Kevin Rudd in the approval and “preferred Prime Minister” ratings. Only a few weeks ago the eventual winner was 14% behind in some of the polls while the man who was to lose, Kevin Rudd, became the only Australian party leader in two and a half years to have…