Billericay East on Basildon (Con Defence) Last Local Election (2012): Con 25, Lab 15, Lib Dem 2 (Conservative majority of 8) Current Electoral Cycle Election Results Local Elections  2010 Local Elections  2011 Local Elections  2012 Votes Cast % Share Votes Cast % Share Votes Cast % Share Conservatives 4,084 61% 2,626 65% 1,502 58% Labour 737 11% 567 14% 383 15% Liberal Democrats 1,360 20% 528 13% 316 12% UKIP 308 5% 346 9% 409 16% BNP…
Two NO bets of £200k each reported this week alone Now Ladbrokes report that a shop in Scotland took a £200k bet on the #IndyRef outcome being NO Hills took similar bet earlier in week — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 27, 2013 @metaneat If Ladbrokes and William Hill tell me this has happened then I believe them The NO #IndyRef price has tightened sharply — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 27, 2013 Hills tighten the NO price to 1/7 Current best NO…
YouGov voting intentions table showing how support has been moving away from UKIP In June. Back in 4th place today pic.twitter.com/y2mAJO6k0j — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 27, 2013 Labour appears to be benefitting most For the first time since mid-April UKIP has dropped below the LDs in fourth place in the YouGov daily poll. At the same time Labour continues to advance and today’s share and recent results suggest that the party is benefitting most from UKIP going off the…
The Sun’s treatment highlights the danger of Twitter When I first saw Osborne’s pre-sending review statement Tweet with a picture of himself at his desk eating a burger it looked like a mistake. It was just too contrived and in any case the Chancellor is always going to have a battle convincing us that he’s a man of the people. This is how the paper is reporting it:- “The Chancellor tweeted a snap of himself “finalising†work on his spending…
Osborne making his spending review statement pic.twitter.com/GeC6KVmkwC — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 26, 2013 He’s becoming more like Gordon Brown at every turn The thing that struck me most about Osborne’s spending review statement was how little it had to do with the economics and how much it was about setting the political backcloth for GE2015. In this, of course, you have to remember that as shadow chancellor, first under Michael Howard and then under Cameron, Osborne sat across the…
The country’s first woman PM deposed Ir's official – Rudd wins in Australia. See pic.twitter.com/CkkmYxlSQc — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 26, 2013 Watch the live ABC stream here.
Electoral Calculus's Martin Baxter now projecting that UKIP could start winning seats on 16% http://t.co/Bpu0246QfP pic.twitter.com/svyj94JJOA — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 26, 2013 Time to look at UKIP seat betting? As has been highlighted a fair bit recently UKIP have a real challenge converting the substantial poll shares now being reported into seats because of the way the first past the post system operates with the smaller parties. Now Martin Baxter of Electoral Calculus has published a revised approach to…
Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you like political betting, welcome to PB, Nobody Does It Better than PB. If you’ve always been a lurker, why not delurk tonight, no one will think You’re So Vain for delurking. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) David Cameron says “I can…