The LAB lead setting down to pre-spending review levels Almost no change in today's YouGov Sun poll CON 32 LAB 40 LD 9 UKIP 13 For the 3rd consecutive day the LDs in single figures — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 4, 2013 Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB
Home of the web’s best political conversation On A Night Like This, why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, this thread is Especially For You,  ignore the Better The Devil You Know, and delurk tonight. I Should Be So Lucky if a few of you choose to delurk tonight. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant…
How many people know who Len McCluskey actually is? The most interesting feature of PMQs today was actually the new line of attack from EdM on free schools. Why are the government funding new schools in areas where there are surplus places when at the same time when there are parts of the country with desperate shortages? This got buried under the barrage from Cameron on UNITE and the Falkirk selection. It got a good response initially but then Dave…
The row over the Falkirk selection could make or break him Mail packs, such as the one featured above from the GMB union to those of its members entitled to vote in Labour’s leadership election, played a pivotal role in EdM’s victory September 2010. They were developed for the GMB, UNISON and UNITE unions to get round a Labour party ban on candidates’ promotional materials being included in the voting packs for the election. Instead the ballot papers were nested…
Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re interested in political betting, and you’re thinking I Don’t Want To Miss a Thing about political betting, then you’ve come to right place. If you’re a lurker, why not Walk This Way and delurk. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Why the…
UKIP remain odds-on favourite to win most votes at Euro2014. See pic.twitter.com/xhe95mdgjs — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 2, 2013 I still think the Tories could surprise us The 4% average poll decline experienced by UKIP last month has not impacted on the betting on next year’s Euro elections. As the chart shows they are still odds on favorite. My money, at 10/1 is on the Tories coming out on top – a position they’ve achieved in every Euro election since…
Are figures like this the new normality? There’s a general rule about the Sun’s daily poll from YouGov – if the numbers are good for the Tories then they get Tweeted overnight. If not then we usually have to wait until the normal publication time of 6am. The latest figures came out before midnight and show the CON and LAB shares at exactly the same level as they were in Sunday’s poll from the firm for the Sun’s News International…
Home of the web’s best political conversation If you’re thinking I Don’t Like Mondays, why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’ve always been a lurker, why not delurk Tonight. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Tim Montgomerie channels his inner Dan Hodges, Five reasons why Ed Miliband might be easier to beat than Gordon Brown Occasional…