Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, nighthawks is All About You, Please Please, take the opportunity to Delurk, once you delurk, you’ll be saying Don’t Stop Me Now. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Ed Miliband can’t face down Unite or Ed Balls. He’s a leader who…
@MSmithsonPB Thanks Mike. Happy memories of us with Stephen visiting Hillary and Bill in the Oval in 1999. Deja vu! pic.twitter.com/I7K19lVaqf — John McCaffrey (@McCaffJohn) November 16, 2013 John McCaffrey ‘s departure is not good for Labour There’ve been two political fundraising stories over the past few days. The unsurprising news that Paul Sykes has promised several millions for the UKIP Euro election campaign for next May and the departure of John McCaffrey as Labour’s head of fundraising and commercial…
Latest best odds Scottish #IndyRef pic.twitter.com/HESQaQuvia — PolPics (@PolPics) November 17, 2013 Keep hold of your money Over the past week there have been a number of reports from the bookies about punters placing four and five figure bets on NO in the IndyRef at prices as tight as 1/7. The thinking is that the outcome is now a certainty and that locking your cash up for ten months produces a return that is far in excess of what you…
Remember the election that was a total disaster for the pollsters It’s being reported that David Cameron is using John Major’s successful and surprise victory at GE1992 as a model for his party in seventeen months time. Whether the planned campaigning “double whammy” type tax shock approach will work we’ll have to wait and see but the result from April 1992 will give the blue team hopes of a majority right until the early hours of May 8th 2015. For…
This is looking like the Romney betting ahead of WH2012 What’s been one of the intensive weeks of polling since the last election has barely moved the betting markets where Tory chances of securing a majority are rated at more than 23%. The LAB price continues to be in the mid-30s even though current polls translated into seats could see them with a majority of 80+. A hung parliament remains the punters’ favourite at just on a 40% chance. The…
Tonight's Opinium poll follows trend we've seen all week from ICM/Populus/TNS-BMRB/YouGov of LAB lead getting bigger — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 16, 2013 This post will be updated as more polling details come in
A once in a lifetime chance: Have a drink on SeanT The next PB gathering will be at the Dirty Dicks pub just across the road from Liverpool Street Station in London from 1830 on Wednesday November 20th. These have become very much a tradition and a good time is generally had by all. There’s an area at the back of the pub on the first floor that is semi-reserved for us. Please try to make it if you can….
pic.twitter.com/mI8RVHixt1 — Mike Smithson (@PolPics) November 16, 2013 And all the parties are complicit Around fifty years ago, the prime minister of the day confided in his PR advisor that “the period since 1832, in which the middle classes had dominated government and politics, was disappearing†and that “power was passing to organised labourâ€. It was a surprisingly Marxist analysis to come from a Conservative PM but not untypically for a Marxist analysis, it was wrong. In some ways, Macmillan’s…