Two more polls this morning add to the big picture – Labour’s lead is increasing

Two more polls this morning add to the big picture – Labour’s lead is increasing

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Ipsos-MORI also reports Greens up from 4 to 7 Charts from Ipsos-MORI showing today's poll which has LAB lead of 6% – up from level pegging last month pic.twitter.com/Wk5AflwS5C — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 15, 2013 LAB’s position with Populus best since end July Today's online poll from Populus sees LAB lead up Lab 40 (+1) Cons 31 (=) LD 11 (=) UKIP 10 (=) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 15, 2013 All the leaders see their Ipsos-MORI ratings fall Table from Ipsos-MORI showing…

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November 14th 2013 Local By-Election Results

November 14th 2013 Local By-Election Results

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Seaton on Allerdale Labour 464 (40%), United Kingdom Independence Party 426 (37%), Conservative 133 (11%), Green 108 (9%), Liberal Democrat 30 (3%) Labour GAIN from Independent Labour GAIN overall control of Allerdale with an overall majority of 2 Winton East on Bournemouth Conservative 503 (42%), Labour 215 (18%), United Kingdom Independence Party 212 (18%), Liberal Democrat 191 (16%), Green 48 (4%), Independent 34 (3%) Conservative HOLD Seaton on Cumbria Labour 628 (47% +15%), United Kingdom Independence Party 483 (36% +11%),…

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Not if but when should Ed back an EU referendum?

Not if but when should Ed back an EU referendum?

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Henry G Manson says Ed should do it sooner not later Labour is signed up to an EU referendum in principle. Any new shift in powers will lead to one. That’s just a matter of time. Surely it’s better to take control and choose on your own terms and your own timing? The argument for ‘not right now’ is reasonably coherent. We must focus on jobs and growth. ‘Not 2017’ makes sense because signposting such a timetable four years would…

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Local By-Election Preview : November 14th 2013

Local By-Election Preview : November 14th 2013

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Seaton on Allderdale (Ind Defence) Result of last election (2011): Lab 28, Ind 16, Con 12 (No Overall Control, Lab and Opposition tied) Result of ward at last election (2011): Emboldened denotes elected Independent 1,055, 641 Labour 779, 586 Green 304 Candidates duly nominated: Mike Davidson (Con), Alistair Grey (Green), Mark Jenkinson (UKIP), Andrew Lawson (Lab), Chris Snowden (Lib Dem) Allerdale is one of those councils where the normal rules of local elections do not seem to apply. In the…

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UKIP the least liked party and LAB move to 8pc lead with TNS-BMRB

UKIP the least liked party and LAB move to 8pc lead with TNS-BMRB

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This is from a survey that looks at views of the parties in different parts of the country which doesn’t produce any startling conclusions – the Tories are less popular in the north while LAB had problems in the South outside London. These YouGov numbers are very similar to what Ipsos-MORI found in August when they asked about liking and disliking parties. There’s little doubt that if party wants to be liked then it’s better to be in opposition. Meanwhile…

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Marf on the economy and the morning’s polling news

Marf on the economy and the morning’s polling news

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If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints or originals, please contact her here. Latest YouGov sees UKIP up at 13% again Today's YouGov poll for the Sun sees LAB lead down to 8% CON 31 LAB 39 LD 9 UKIP 13 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 14, 2013 Farage’s party seems to poll within a range of 10-13% in the daily YouGov surveys and this morning’s figure is at the top of that range. On a bare uniform national swing this…

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Nighthawks is now open

Nighthawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Wwy not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, why not delurk, don’t be a Fly On The Wall, once you start posting, you’ll get The Best of Both Worlds, reading and contributing to PB, which is The Good Life. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) The Rise Of The…

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The economy might be recovering but new poll by Populus finds that only 11pc feel part of it

The economy might be recovering but new poll by Populus finds that only 11pc feel part of it

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A feeling of economic well-being is surely central to GE2015 There’s a new survey out from Populus with a sample of 4,071 British adults, in which 44% said that the most important issue in determining their vote at GE2015 will be either the economy or the cost of living. Of those participating 38% leant towards agreeing that there is a national economic recovery underway, just 11% of the sample agreed they feel part of that recovery. Further, 38% thought there…

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