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Ipsos Mori November 2013 Issues Index and Local By-Election Results : November 28th 2013

29/11/2013 Editor Comments 0 Comment

The Ipsos-Mori issues indexÂ for November is out, the field work ended on the 10th of November. Ipsos-Mori Issues Index for Nov is out New PB Thread http://t.co/uJnRxdRYii pic.twitter.com/ovrJF46TKs — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) November 29, 2013 General concern about the economy continues to fall as concern shifts to poverty/inequality and the personal economy. Highest level of concern about low pay and poverty/inequality Ipsos MORI have ever recorded. Immigration is in second place, as it has been for the last five months, is race…

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Will it be English Tories that swings the IndyRef for the Yes Side?

29/11/2013 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Will it be English Tories that swings the IndyRef for the Yes Side? New PB Thread http://t.co/8YtUktuchO pic.twitter.com/Z7Zjjxkoc7 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) November 29, 2013 On the love that might finally dare to speak its name. For those of us betting and/or wanting Scotland to vote for independence, bar one poll that was commissioned by the SNP, the general thrust of the recent polling hasn’t been favourable for us, so where will this surge in support for the Yes Side come from? In…

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Does the government care that household debt is soaring?

29/11/2013 TSE Comments 0 Comment

HenryGManson asks Does the government care that household debt is soaring? New PB Thread http://t.co/8WK28EM4eL pic.twitter.com/j16apwPMPH — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) November 29, 2013 We often hear politicians refer to the national debt, at which point Fraser Nelson will republish his chartÂ showing the latest figures the government owes and that either the Chancellor or Prime Minister is telling fibs. This week Nelson added â€˜although I hate to say it, the Labour Party has a valid point to make. If you donâ€™t adjust…

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Local By-Election Preview: November 28th 2013

28/11/2013 Editor Comments 0 Comment

Winkfield and Cranbourne on Bracknell Forest (Con Defence) Result of last election (2011): Con 40, Lab 2 (Conservative overall majority of 38) Result of ward at last election (2011): Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 1,308, 1,250 Green 269 Labour 255, 252 Candidates duly nominated: Paul Birchall (Lib Dem), Janet Keene (Lab), Ken La Garde (UKIP), Susie Phillips (Con) When people think of “one party states” in local elections, they often think of the Labour heartlands such as Knowsley (Lab 63,…

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Chris Huhne discusses the prospects for a Labour-Lib Dem coalition in 2015.

28/11/2013 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Now that he is free from being a Member of Parliament, and not constrained by having to toe the party line, Chris Huhne has been offering his thoughts on a variety of subjects. Yesterday Chris Huhne wrote a piece in Juncture magazine which discusses on the formation of the current coalition in 2010, and the possibility for a Labour/Lib Dem coalition in 2015.Â (You can read the piece hereÂ and here’s the Guardian write up of the Huhne piece.) He says on…

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If anything UKIP ‘s poll shares have edged up over the past month

28/11/2013 MikeSmithson Comments 0 Comment

And next week GE2015 will be only 17 months away Perhaps the biggest question hanging over the GE2015 outcome is how big will UKIP’s share be on the day. Although the party is attracting support across the board the general view is that the Tories will be damaged the most. By the same argument the more the UKIP share slips back then the better it should be for the blue team The real answer is that we don’t know. The…

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How WH2012 would have finished up if only white men had voted

28/11/2013 MikeSmithson Comments 0 Comment

If only white men voted here is what the 2012 map would have looked like source: http://t.co/RXZd6YqyW5 MAP: pic.twitter.com/6tMbcLyCsU — PoliticaI Charts (@PoliticalCharts) November 28, 2013 We’d probably get a similar pattern in the UK I find the chart above absolutely fascinating although not surprising. In the US, of course, the Democratic party colour is blue and the Republican one red. So the message is that it would be President Romney now if the franchise has been what it was…

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PB Nighthawks is now open

27/11/2013 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Home of the webâ€™s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the dayâ€™s events in PB NightHawks. Nighthawks gives me the opportunity to say Let Me Entertain you with my round up of links. To you lurkers, why not delurk? You’ll have No Regrets if you delurk, you’ll experience a great Freedom from lurking, when you Delurk. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant…

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