Miliband is still odds-on to become next PM

Miliband is still odds-on to become next PM

Comments 0 Comment

Latest next PM betting odds EdM tight odds-on favourite Theresa May 16/1 Boris & Yvette 20/1 pic.twitter.com/RTnBitTLSd — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 27, 2013 17 months left to go before GE2015 I don’t think any of these are a good bet at this stage. There’s a lot of water to run under the bridge. The only certainty is that the date in the fixed term parliament act for the next general election is May 7th 2015. It’s possible that the coalition…

Read More Read More

UKIP within 5 points of taking Thanet South according to new constituency poll. CON slips from 1st to 3rd

UKIP within 5 points of taking Thanet South according to new constituency poll. CON slips from 1st to 3rd

Comments 0 Comment

The first of 8 seat specific surveys funded by a UKIP donor Today marks the start of a new GE2015 polling series funded by UKIP donor, Alan Bown. These will be published in the coming weeks and will look at LAB-CON marginals where UKIP may be a factor in the 2015 general election. These are the only ­ constituency specific polls to be published so far during this election cycle (the Ashcroft marginals polling combined constituencies which were not broken…

Read More Read More

On the Betfair exchange punters are rating a victory for YES in the #IndyRef at 18.9pc

On the Betfair exchange punters are rating a victory for YES in the #IndyRef at 18.9pc

Comments 0 Comment

On this big day for #IndyRef Betfair punters put the chance of Winning YES vote at 18.9% See chart pic.twitter.com/6wNdGL5zR3 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 26, 2013 Producer @amberskynews holds Scotland's Future in her arms pic.twitter.com/P0s3Vl7v6O — Adam Boulton (@adamboultonSKY) November 26, 2013 But the Bank of England remains the lender of last resort SNP White Paper on what might kinda happen when banks go phut pic.twitter.com/ImQMRgp9Qu h/t @EdConwaySky — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) November 26, 2013

Thanet South could see CON to UKIP tactical voting to stop LAB

Thanet South could see CON to UKIP tactical voting to stop LAB

Comments 0 Comment

The stage is set surely for Nigel Farage to become an MP Big GE2015 news has been the announcement by Thanet South MP, Laura Sandys, that she’s going to stand down at the general election. She won the seat from LAB in 2010 and, as the chart shows, had a pretty comfortable majority. Add on the expected first time incumbency bonus and it looked relatively safe. That’s all changed with her announcement. Nigel Farage had already indicated that the seat…

Read More Read More

The Tories get 3pc closer in the ComRes phone poll for the Indy

The Tories get 3pc closer in the ComRes phone poll for the Indy

Comments 0 Comment

Most see the blues as being for the rich The monthly phone poll by ComRes for the Indy is just out and has the Tories up 4 on the very low 28% recorded in October. This move is greater than the margin of error . But CON strategists might be concerned that the move back to the Tories has not been at the expense of Labour which also moves up. To have any chance of coming out with most seats…

Read More Read More

Tessa Jowell becomes the opening favourite in new market on the LAB candidate to contest the 2016 London Mayoral election

Tessa Jowell becomes the opening favourite in new market on the LAB candidate to contest the 2016 London Mayoral election

Comments 0 Comment

pic.twitter.com/6Qviv6ewle — PolPics (@PolPics) November 25, 2013 Has she got what it takes to win the massive primary? After the general election the biggest UK election from a betting perspective has traditionally been the battle to win the London Mayoralty. There have been four elections since the post was created in 2000 and each has attracted a lot of betting interest. This is massive with a potential electorate of 6m. So far two of the elections have resulted in two…

Read More Read More

Hopi Sen is right: The 2010 LDs now saying don’t know could be crucial and need to be looked at

Hopi Sen is right: The 2010 LDs now saying don’t know could be crucial and need to be looked at

Comments 0 Comment

Markedly more in the marginals have made up their minds We’ve talked a lot on PB about the 2010 LDs who’ve switched to LAB but that is not the whole picture as ex-Labour staffer blogger Hopi Sen notes. In an interesting post he highlights a significant group of voters who hardly get any attention to – the 2010 LDs who now say don’t know. He writes:- These people are not non-voters. They voted. They’re just not sure if, or how,…

Read More Read More