The stage is set surely for Nigel Farage to become an MP
Big GE2015 news has been the announcement by Thanet South MP, Laura Sandys, that she’s going to stand down at the general election.
She won the seat from LAB in 2010 and, as the chart shows, had a pretty comfortable majority. Add on the expected first time incumbency bonus and it looked relatively safe. That’s all changed with her announcement.
Nigel Farage had already indicated that the seat was near the top of his short-list of places where he could try to win a Westminster seat.
Given the success that UKIP had in the county elections there in May a Farage campaign would surely have a pretty powerful tactical message for CON voters.
We are the only party capable of blocking LAB here
You can see that information on the bar charts on the leaflets already.
What makes all the difference here is that Laura Sandys is not re-standing. I had dealings with her a few years ago and she’s very impressive. She’ll be a big loss.
The UKIP campaign there will be strengthened by the high profile that Farage is likely to enjoy during the election.
THe Ladbrokes 3/1 on UKIP winning here is probably worth a punt as are bets on UKIP winning at least one seat. There’s value as well in Labour taking the seat at 4/1.