Starmer’s party, which hasn’t been getting much attention recently, is retaining its position in the next general election betting and is rated as a 65% chance of achieving an overall majority. It is hard to see this moving much except if LAB’s poll leading begins to ebb away. My calculation is that the critical figure we should look for is whether or not the Labour Party has an overall lead over the Tories of 7% or more. That should ensure…
The truly terrifying thing is Nigel Farage might not be the worst option for the Tory Party, not whilst Suella Braverman, Kemi Badenoch, Frosty The No Man, and Liz Truss all have leadership ambitions. From a betting perspective lay the sane* candidates in the next Tory leader betting market. TSE *Like an Alabama love story, it is a relative thing. Update
After nearly 20 years of running PB I am taking a break from the site. In the meantime PB will be in the capable hands of TSE Mike Smithson
October is Black History Month. Labour marked this by issuing a Tweet saying that it is: “the time to celebrate the achievements and contributions of Black communities and acknowledge the inequality they still face.” To this end, Labour’s message went on: “Labour will introduce a Race Equality Act to tackle structural racial inequalities.” Here’s the problem with this proposal. There already exists a law to do just this. The Equality Act. In force since 1 October 2010. Passed by Labour…
The word cloud above was featured widely on BBC news outlets last night and sets out the challenge for the Tories as they gather in Manchester for their party conference. Is there any way that Sunak could change this in the remaining time before a general election has to be called? My view has always been that Sunak’s personal wealth was always going to be a massive negative for the Tories and I can’t think of what the party can…
Cyclefree gives her view Jonathan Sumption, former Law Lord, eminent historian of the 100 Years’ War, once described by Alastair Campbell as the “cleverest man in Britain” with a “brain the size of a planet” has had a long and distinguished legal career, having previously been a fellow of Magdalen College, specialising in medieval history. Like many with high intelligence he can, however, be naive about others’ baser motives. His Reith lectures raised important questions about the balance between law…
I’m looking forward to seeing the polling on Sunak’s driving changes and I won’t come to a firm view until I do. Maybe this will resonate and the PM will get a boost. Maybe it won’t But judging by the discussions on social media they don’t seem to have gone down well. Speeding limits do save lives. I’m just amazed that Sunak thought he was onto a winner. Mike Smithson