Marf on Osborne’s “halving” of the EU budget payment and news about the next PB gathering
Reminder. Next PB gathering Friday Nov 21: The day after Rochester. Usual place:Dirty Dicks opposite Liverpool Street station London from 1830
This week’s Local By-Election Results: A good day for the Tories
Mevagissey on Cornwall (Lab Defence) Result: Conservative 348 (32% +8%), UKIP 281 (26% -2%), Labour 204 (19% -11%), Liberal Democrats 197 (18% +4%), Greens 50 (5% -2%) Conservative GAIN from Labour with a majority of 67 (6%) on a swing of 5% from UKIP to Conservative Bilton on Rugby (Con Defence) Result: Conservatives 668 (42%), UKIP 325 (20%), Liberal Democrats 280 (18%), Labour 212 (13%), Independent 60 (4%), Greens 37 (2%), TUSC 10 (1%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of…
If the Miliband rumblings haven’t quietened down after the weekend then he could be in trouble
Watch: New Statesman editor Jason Cowley defends the magazine's criticism of Ed Miliband #SkyNewsTonight http://t.co/y2rClEeNR3 — Sky News Tonight (@SkyNewsTonight) November 6, 2014 This article by the New Statesman's Editor has played big part in bringing LAB's Ed Miliband issue to a head. http://t.co/PlZNBPDE95 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2014 What seems to have set this off – a New Statesman article Looking over the past couple of days the trigger for the Miliband leadership speculation appears to have…
Survation poll for the Mirror showing LAB 4% ahead could take some of the pressure off Ed
UKIP now within just 3% of the Tories Although Survation has become a major part of the UK polling scene since GE10 its standard Westminster voting surveys are only a small part of its output. Today, however, there’s a new poll for the Daily Mirror which could provide some relief for the Ed Miliband camp under siege after a day of leadership speculation. The 4% LAB margin is the biggest in any poll since YouGov recorded a 7% lead nearly…
Local By-Election Preview: November 6th 2014
Mevagissey on Cornwall (Lab Defence) Result of council at last election (2013): Independents 37, Liberal Democrats 36, Conservatives 31, Labour 8, UKIP 6, Mebyon Kernow 4, Green 1 (No Overall Control, Independents short by 25) Result of ward at last election (2013): Labour 391 (30%), UKIP 363 (28%), Conservative 316 (24%), Liberal Democrats 184 (14%), Green 62 (7%) Candidates duly nominated: Christopher Maynard (Lib Dem), Katherine Moseley (Green), James Mustoe (Con), Charmain Nicholas (Lab), Michael Williams (UKIP) This is the…
The pressure on Ed Miliband – Marf gives her take
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Big news from Westminster is that there are LAB calls for Ed Miliband to step down
BBC News says some LAB MPs have told chair of parliamentary party that EdM should stand down http://t.co/2SRcUMXoty pic.twitter.com/7be3uKBRWd — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 6, 2014 Is it worth a 6/1 bet? William Hill make it a 6/1 shot that Ed Miliband will go before GE15 http://t.co/orbZ1dFWfn — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 6, 2014 Generally leaders hold on even in the most difficult of circumstances. With Labour it is even more complicated because the rules for getting rid of an incumbent make…
LAB is still ahead in England which the Tories won at GE10 with a margin of 11.4 percent
Could GE15 in England be like GE05 which the Tories won on votes but were 92 seats behind on seats CON 35.7% England vote: 194 MPS LAB 35.5% England vote: 286 MPs GE2005 from Commons Research paper. LAB loses to CON on votes in England but comes out with 92.more MPs pic.twitter.com/59DFyk51OU — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 31, 2014 A stark reminder of the impact of first past the post Labour might have collapsed in Scotland but the gainers are…