The Labour leader at the general election betting

The Labour leader at the general election betting

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Ladbrokes have a market up on who will be the Labour leader at the next general election. This is an interesting market, because you can see scenarios that whoever wins in September ends up being replaced before the next election. I know the recent precedent is that that Labour don’t remove poorly performing leaders (in fact only replace three time election winning leaders) but this time it feels different for the next Labour leader. If they perform badly, there’s more…

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All the Labour deputy leader candidates say they will serve under Corbyn

All the Labour deputy leader candidates say they will serve under Corbyn

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I'm taking this to mean the Deputy Leader candidates think Corbyn's going to win pic.twitter.com/Hgi9YcPLA7 — TSE (@TSEofPB) August 8, 2015 Are the deputy leader candidates preparing for a Corbyn victory? Looking at the front page of the Independent on Sunday, I suspect most of the focus will be on Jeremy Corbyn’s plans to bring back clause IV, but the most interesting aspect of that front page for me is all of the deputy leader candidates saying they will serve under Jeremy…

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With just a week to go before voting starts Corbyn is back as favourite

With just a week to go before voting starts Corbyn is back as favourite

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Hopefully we’ll see new YouGov polling in the next few days Over the past week Andy Burnham has been making the running in the LAB leadership betting returning for a few days to be favourite. That’s now changing and this afternoon the money was moving Corbyn’s way an he’s now back as favourite. What this means I don’t know. I’m not convinced that the bulk of the new names are necessarily part of the Corbyn camp. Many, I’m told, are…

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It’s The Start of The New Football Season

It’s The Start of The New Football Season

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Hi All, It’s Robert (rcs1000) here, and I’m using the Politicalbetting soapbox to promote a venture that OGH and I are involved in: Crowdscores. The goal of Crowdscores is to crowdsource sports data. So, instead of buying offical data from Opta, we get fans at the game (or watching TV) to tell us what the score is, who scored etc. We’re getting a lot of traction with this model: more than 10,000 people use our app each week, and it…

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What Corbyn’s constituencies tell us about the class of 2020

What Corbyn’s constituencies tell us about the class of 2020

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Never mind the leadership, the PLP could be transformed One of the odder features of the Labour leadership election is that the nominations of constituency parties are firstly made and secondly reported. It’s odd because these are almost entirely meaningless given that they play no role in the process. They may be useful to observers if they represent the genuine view of the membership (which isn’t something to be taken for granted), and may help a candidate to build momentum…

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Getting on for half of Labour’s leadership electorate have signed up since the election

Getting on for half of Labour’s leadership electorate have signed up since the election

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Some interesting figures from Sky News on the make up of Labour’s electorate. What is striking is that those who were members of the party at the general election represent little more than half. This is the Sky News report from Sophy Ridge:- “Sky News has obtained figures that show almost half of those currently eligible to vote have signed up to the party since the General Election in May. That number is likely to rise still further. Labour will…

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Big swings to the SNP in the latest local by-elections: Full results

Big swings to the SNP in the latest local by-elections: Full results

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Anderston and City (SNP defence), Calton (SNP defence), Craigton (SNP defence) and Langside (Green defence) on City of Glasgow Anderston and City Result: SNP 1,441 (48% +18%), Labour 857 (29% -21%), Green 414 (14% +4%), Conservatives 164 (5% unchanged), Liberal Democrats 66 (2% unchanged), UKIP 43 (1%, no candidate in 2012), Libertarian 12 (0%, no candidate in 2012) SNP HOLD on the sixth count with a majority of 584 (19%) on a swing of 19.5% from Labour to SNP Calton…

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The first GOP debate – has it changed your view?

The first GOP debate – has it changed your view?

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Watch the latest video at video.foxnews.com Everybody seems to want instant reactions to events like the Fox GOP debates in Cleveland Ohio. My only “winner”, for want of a better term, was Carly Fiorina – the ex-CEO of Hewlett Packard who sounded fluid and convincing in the first session for those who started with the lowest poll ratings. Next time she needs to be facing Donald Trump – the dominant figure who has refused to rule out running as a…

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