This is for PM & more than a party matter Don’t you like farce? The Conservative party leadership election is dishing up plenty of it, and all of the blackest variety. Like horror movies, there are rules for Conservative party leadership elections: you may not survive if you have sex; you may not survive if you drink or do drugs; and, as Boris Johnson found out, you may not survive if you say “I’ll be right back”, “Hello?” or “Who’s…
Nigel Farage: I said I want my country back. What I am saying today is ‘I want my life back’ and it begins right now https://t.co/p4yQiBNONP — BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) July 4, 2016 Wiliam Hill make Suzanne Evans 7/4 favourite to be UKIP leader — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 4, 2016
CON leader betting Betfair exchange 0540BST pic.twitter.com/VARc6pOfNq — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 4, 2016 Theresa May strong odds on favourite the day before the first vote Tomorrow MPs will vote by secret ballot in the first round of the 2016 Conservative Leadership Race. The choice will be more than just the party leadership because the winner becomes the next PM. Five names are on the tomorrow’s ballot and MPs have to choose just one. The contender who receives the fewest…
The @Telegraph puts the boot into Gove. https://t.co/szMhu8HXbD pic.twitter.com/g3WrnNrhSr — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 3, 2016 This is by a fellow CON MP The article is by Ben Wallace, MP for Wyre and Preston North. He writes:- “..From the minute Michael Gove came on board with Boris’s leadership campaign, things started to go wrong. There was a leak a day in the press, starting with the camera crews at Boris’s house in Oxfordshire on the first day and ending with…
Pictures: First picture odds from Stan James, second picture, odds from SkyBet There’s a couple of markets up on when Article 50 will be triggered, if you’re lucky to have a Stan James account, I wonder backing the any other outcome other option. It is effectively a bet on Article 50 being triggered in 2018 or later, not at all. Now 2018 might sound far away, but we’re less than 18 months away from 2018, and given the gravity of…
What will Labour do? If recent weeks have taught us anything, it’s that forecasting is a mug’s game – there may be pundits here who have always been right, but I can’t think of any – certainly not me. So the wise thing for reputations is to keep your head down. But a lot of the comments here misread how many Labour people think, which has implications for those who bet on Labour outcomes. So some thoughts, partly to complement…
Picture: Note there are other candidates available in this market, this is merely a screen grab of the leading candidates. Backing Chris Grayling as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer at 12/1 looks like a good bet. Ladbrokes have put back up their market on the next Chancellor of the Exchequer, given recent events whomever becomes Prime Minister will likely be appointing a new Chancellor, although there are stories that were Michael Gove to become Prime Minister, he’d retain George…
Remember Brown who was spared that inconvenience? There’s said to be talks taking place amongst “senior Tories” that if May wins convincingly in the first MP ballot on Tuesday then the other contenders should be asked to step aside so that the Home Secretary could start her job immediately. It sounds seductive but it would be a serious mistake. The most recent precedent was Gordon Brown’s elevation to the party leadership and Number 10 in 2007. In order to prevent…