As we await the first results

As we await the first results

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#BREAKING: Early exit poll shows voters are anxious about @realDonaldTrump https://t.co/C6MgWy36Km pic.twitter.com/MCxpW5krZU — POLITICO (@politico) November 8, 2016 Preliminary exit polls: 51% say Trump’s treatment of women bothers them a lot, while 44% say so of Clinton’s emails https://t.co/5giPSNelRv — This Week (@ThisWeekABC) November 8, 2016 The ethnic breakdown in the exit poll might not be as diverse as some Dems wanted #USElection2016 — Matt Goodwin (@GoodwinMJ) November 8, 2016 President Kerry thanks you for your interest in early exit…

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Six hours or so before we start to get an idea

Six hours or so before we start to get an idea

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Not the best start to #Election2016 day for Donald Trump – being roundly booed on his way to vote (via @AnupKaphle) https://t.co/g8YlsTx0lR — Sporting Index (@sportingindex) November 8, 2016 https://twitter.com/RupertMyers/status/796035891760418816 Clinton now back to 82% on Betfair. Had slipped earlier to 79& — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 8, 2016 BREAKING: Watch Michigan. Working-class turnout is looking much higher than expected. Trump may actually have a chance. #ElectionDay — Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 8, 2016

Your timetable for this historic day

Your timetable for this historic day

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How events will unfold state by state November 8th 2016 (all times GMT) 5.00am Dixville Notch and Hart’s Location, New Hampshire The two communities of Dixville Notch and Hart’s Location in the battleground state of New Hampshire, have been voting at midnight for the best part of forty years and between them, give us the first indications of the result. For instance in 2012 Obama polled 28 votes in the two locations, Romney 14 votes and Johnson 1 vote (Obama…

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Clinton punters are getting the jitters with the Electoral College Votes spreads slipping nine on today’s peak

Clinton punters are getting the jitters with the Electoral College Votes spreads slipping nine on today’s peak

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Clinton dropping further on @SportingIndex https://t.co/SlmpdxLl1w … ECV spread market. Latest 311-321, down 9 on peak today — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2016 Latest state polls via @politicalwire pic.twitter.com/rKbh5D0Kvf — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2016 More final national polls via @politicalwire pic.twitter.com/DBIwzEC5sW — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2016 Latest Betfair Clinton 84%Trump 16% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2016

DPP considering complaint that the LEAVE campaigns misled voters in breach of election law

DPP considering complaint that the LEAVE campaigns misled voters in breach of election law

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Another controversial Brexit court case in pipeline. CPS considering complaint that leave campaigns misled voters https://t.co/rQqvAT1Glz — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2016 It’s hard to know how to assess the seriousness This afternoon’s report is the first anybody has heard of this and it is difficult to know what will happen if anything. The complaint has been made by Prof Bob Watt, who is an expert in electoral law at the University of Buckingham. The Guardian report notes: “Watt…

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One day to go and Betfair makes Hillary an 83% chance but the markets could be over-reacting

One day to go and Betfair makes Hillary an 83% chance but the markets could be over-reacting

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Why I’ve now taken my Clinton spread betting profits There’s a rule in betting generally that markets have a tendency to over-react to big news. With the White House race we saw Trump price rise sharply to more than 30% when the initial FBI announcement came about opening up the email case a week and a half ago. Overnight we’ve seen the opposite with Trump moving back to the 16-17% range on Betfair as an instant reaction to the no…

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Trump’s price is moving out Betfair because of tonight’s FBI news

Trump’s price is moving out Betfair because of tonight’s FBI news

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FBI finds no evidence of criminality in latest batch of @HillaryClinton emailshttps://t.co/qbXYhlMUia #USElection pic.twitter.com/wihbpnRJt4 — BBC Breaking News (@BBCBreaking) November 6, 2016 Trump’s price on Betfair has gone from around 4.9 to over 6 just now. Tonight’s news will come as a relief to Team Clinton. My prediction on the back of tonight’s FBI intervention, if Hillary Clinton wins the Presidency on Tuesday James Comey will be resigning shortly thereafter, lest she appoints him the US Ambassador to the Islamic…

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