As you’ll have seen, Sarah Palin has finally confirmed that she won’t be running, and that must mean that the field is finally set (surely no entry from Rudy?!). There will be a PB poll tomorrow afternoon on the 2012 White House race. With Nevada holding its caucus on 14th January, New Hampshire (by state law a week before any “similar election”) looks set for 3rd January if it sticks to the traditional Tuesday – and that would mean the…
Washington Post What will be the impact of this on the GOP race?
SkyNews Was it the day that changed the world? Some polling from YouGov earlier in the week found that 91% said they can remember what they were doing when news of the 9/11 attacks broke. This compares with 84% remembering where they were when Princess Diana died, 68% when the 7/7 attacks on the London tube took place, and just 25% when Margaret Thatcher resigned as Prime Minister. That puts it into context. In many ways it was the day…
Gallup Should he really be such a tight odds-on favourite? One statistic about US politics that has been bandied about quite a lot recently is that no US president since Franklin Roosevelt has been re-elected with the unemployment rate above 7.2%. The figure for this month is 9.2%. It will take some turnaround for the rate to get back down by November next year, particularly in light of the sluggish growth figures released there this week. As they say in…
Guardian Will Obama and Congress go to the brink and beyond? Possibly the biggest political gamble going on at the moment is the series of judgement calls being made by politicians in Washington. By their failure to agree so far, they are running the very real risk of at the least a partial shutdown of the federal government and at worst an outright default. None of it need happen. The markets are willing to lend the money the government needs…
Is he more important as a foil for Romney? Nothing would make me happier than for Our Genial Host to better his May 2005 50/1 bet on Barack Obama to become the next POTUS by seeing Jon Huntsman win him the 200/1 bet made in November 2008. I still don’t think it likely – the Republican Party has not yet served its ‘Time in the Wilderness’ and been brought back round to the hungry pragmatism that oppositions need to generate…
Can she eclipse Palin for the Tea Party vote? The big news in the race for the Republican nomination for the 2012 elections has been the emergence of Michele Bachmann, a 55 year old tax lawyer turned congress-woman, who fourth favourite in the betting. This week saw the CNN candidates’ debate in New Hampshire and afterwards almost all the pundits said that she and Romney came out best. The AP video above gives a good feel of her position. In…
This was Ed Miliband on BBC Breakfast on May 5th 2011 “The central mission of my Government will be to ensure that we get the next generation to have better chances than the last, because that is under threat in this country and unless we make that the focus – unless we make that the mission of the Government – I fear the situation will get worse.” This was Jon Huntsman, third in the betting for the GOP nomination, in…