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Category: Donald Trump

Punters still betting on Trump even though his legal and other efforts to stay have floundered

Punters still betting on Trump even though his legal and other efforts to stay have floundered

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Even after everything that has happened in the past few days Betfair have continued to keep their 2020 next president market open and the total amount of bets matched now exceeds £908 million. Given the terms of their market as set out on PB several times this is a nonsense and this should have been settled two weeks ago. Betfair has done its reputation no good with its handling of this. There have been two big developments in the US…

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Trump’s Plan D – it’s all about the Electoral College

Trump’s Plan D – it’s all about the Electoral College

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He won’t give up until all the votes are cast and counted “Show me a good loser and I’ll show you a loser”. So once said American Football coach Vince Lombardi. It is a philosophy Donald Trump takes to heart – though his record is somewhat patchier than Lomabrdi’s. Trump has a pathological, visceral fear of being seen to fail, to lose. Any other presidential candidate would have given up weeks ago, particularly as Trump has already set the narrative…

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Trump’s reluctance to concede could hinder his party in the Georgia Runoffs

Trump’s reluctance to concede could hinder his party in the Georgia Runoffs

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We are all aware of the mighty election battle that takes place in Georgia on January 5th in the runoff elections that could determine whether the Republicans or the Democrats control the Senate. If the Republicans hold the seats then they retain a majority. If the Democratic party wins both seats then with the casting vote of the Vice President, Kamala Harris they will have control albeit by narrowest of margins. Yet as the Washington Post notes for the Republicans…

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Legendary Republican political strategist, Karl Rove, says the WH2020 outcome will be hard to overturn

Legendary Republican political strategist, Karl Rove, says the WH2020 outcome will be hard to overturn

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With Trump continuing to fight the verdict of voters in last week’s election there’s a warning to the White House from former adviser to Republican presidents and longstanding GOP operative, Karl Rove, about the current en passe. Writing in the Wall Street Journal he notes: To win, Mr. Trump must prove systemic fraud, with illegal votes in the tens of thousands. There is no evidence of that so far. Unless some emerges quickly, the president’s chances in court will decline…

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UK Punters still not totally convinced that Biden will be President

UK Punters still not totally convinced that Biden will be President

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Above is the latest betting chart from Betdata.io of the £600m Betfair next president market. With sore looser Trump continuing to refuse to accept that he was defeated and now blocking the formal transition process punters on Betfair are increasingly rating him as the winner up from a 4% chance at the weekend to a 9% chance now. Quite how long this will continue is hard to say but could we really see on January 20th, the day of the…

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If there had been an equal number of men and women voting then Trump would have won a second term

If there had been an equal number of men and women voting then Trump would have won a second term

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Lots of analysis at the moment about the US election following the victory of Joe Biden and defeat of Donald Trump. One of the features of US elections which has been critical this year is that there is a much higher level of participation in US elections by women over men. There are more women than men in the US, they are more likely to be registered and have a greater propensity to actually vote. Thus of those who took…

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Trump down to a 14% chance on Betfair as the post election battles continue

Trump down to a 14% chance on Betfair as the post election battles continue

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As had been expected Trump team are not taking their likely defeat with the normal good grace that their predecessors have shown. In a confused statement the 74 year old incumbent is making threats in an effort to do something that will keep him there. Following the results we have had today it seems a forlorn task especially as Biden is able to boast that he’s chalked up the biggest ever vote total in US political history. The Trump idea…

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