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Category: Tories

Henry G Manson asks: Time to Fell the Tree?

Henry G Manson asks: Time to Fell the Tree?

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Are the Conservatives Becoming Enemies of Conservation? The adoption of the tree by the Conservative Party five years ago appeared to signify more than an image re-spray. It built on an important historical strand of conservation running through the Conservative Party which understands in a world of chaotic change, continuity and conservation is increasingly important and reassuring. Tim Montgomorie described this sentiment earlier this year. ‘For us the preservation of the natural environment and good stewardship of the planet’s resources…

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Will the Tories conspire to lose the Law and Order battle?

Will the Tories conspire to lose the Law and Order battle?

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Henry G Manson on the riots aftermath The Conservatives should win the law and order debate hands down. Always. Their MPs traditionally go further than any other party and understandably there’s a huge appetite for tough action on those involved in rioting. Yet the failure to budge on the 20% cuts to policing leaves the government wide open to attack from Labour and parts of the Conservative-inclined press too. There are so many things to be said about the recent…

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Is Warsi set to be the next cabinet casualty?

Is Warsi set to be the next cabinet casualty?

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The money goes on the Tory chairman being axed There’s been a big betting move overnight with punters rushing to get on Baroness Warsi as the next cabinet minister to leave. Yesterday at 5.22pm I backed her at 16/1 with Ladbrokes who’ve now brought her price in to 5/1. PaddyPower, meanwhile have made her the 2/1 favourite with Cameron at 9/2 and the odds-on favourite of only a few weeks ago, Chris Huhne, out to 8/1. What’s driving this is…

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HenryG asks: Who’d take over if Dave is forced to quit?

HenryG asks: Who’d take over if Dave is forced to quit?

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Should you follow Mike’s 33/1 David Davis bet There’s increased speculation from Iain Dale and The Telegraph that David Cameron may end up quitting over the fallout from his relations to Coulson, Brooks and Murdoch. It’s worth considering who might takeover as leader of the Conservatives. The specific nature of this crisis hasn’t been reflected in the betting markets yet. I believe there is one candidate representing outstanding value. Let’s look at the frontrunners. Boris Johnson at 4/1. Isn’t even…

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Will the public ever learn to love the Conservatives?

Will the public ever learn to love the Conservatives?

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Is detoxification harder when the party is in power? One of the lessons from the 2005-2010 Parliament was the need for the Conservative Party to go much further in tackling its image problem – “detoxifying” its brand – before it was able to develop (or at least articulate) a detailed programme of serious policy commitments. This was a strategic decision taken long before the economic collapse resulted in the parties necessarily having to rethink their policy goals. The evidence from…

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Will being tough on crime/immigrants win Tory converts?

Will being tough on crime/immigrants win Tory converts?

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Or are we seeing a core votes strategy? The chart shows the party splits in today’s YouGov “Issues facing you/your family findings and shows a vast difference in the view of what’s important between supporters of the three parties in four key areas. Thus on immigration Tory voters are seven times more likely to be concerned than Lib Dem ones who registered just three percent. Today’s results on the environment are almost exactly a mirror image with LD being seven…

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Which Tory newbie will be first to cabinet level?

Which Tory newbie will be first to cabinet level?

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Interesting betting market from Stan James on which Tory MP first elected in 2010 will make it to the cabinet. Newcomer Tory MP Betting odds Comments Claire Perry 7/2 Her comments about Bercow attracted a lot of attention – but she’s smart, loyal and serious Anna Soubry 3/1 She took Nick Palmer’s seat at the election – impressive in recent TV performances – articulate with the common touch. Like Andrew Lansley she is ex-SDP. Matthew Hancock 6/1 Well briefed, well…

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Should you take HenryG’s 50-1 tip for Tory leader?

Should you take HenryG’s 50-1 tip for Tory leader?

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Will Patel be to Thatcher what Cameron is to Heath? Although I’m a Labour bloke, two of my best political bets have come on Conservative leadership contests where I am now 2 from 2. I successfully backed Iain Duncan Smith at a whopping 33/1 and David Cameron at very tasty 11/1. I think it is worth me dipping my toe in the market at this early stage following a nagging feeling that I’ve seen the next Conservative leader. There is…

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