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We can’t assume that the next CON leader will enjoy the same personal premium that Cameron has had

We can’t assume that the next CON leader will enjoy the same personal premium that Cameron has had

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ComRes Indy on Sunday/S Mirror poll Sept 19 2015 This could make GE2020 less of a certainty The big known unknown of British politics is what is going to happen when David Cameron, as he’s said he will, steps down and won’t pursue a third term. Quite what the timing will be we don’t know but it is highly likely that a new Tory leader will have emerged by the time of the next election and based on current betting…

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Polling shows the Labour Party brand in big trouble

Polling shows the Labour Party brand in big trouble

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This Thursday’s poll by Ipsos Mori is bad for Jeremy Corbyn but even worse for Labour, says Keiran Pedley. Today’s poll looked at public perceptions of Jeremy Corbyn and David Cameron and the Labour and Conservative Party brands in detail. In addition to voting intention and asking respondents which of Cameron or Corbyn would make the ‘most capable Prime Minister’, the poll also listed a series of statements and asked which of them applied to each party and their leaders….

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ICM marginals poll finds the Tories losing their majority

ICM marginals poll finds the Tories losing their majority

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ICM phone polled in the 20 most marginal Labour target seats  (19 Tory and 1 Lib Dem) on behalf of The Sun on Sunday. This found Labour up 4% since May to 42% and the Tories unchanged on 39%. This represents a Con to Lab swing of 2.1%. This would deprive the Tories of their majority. Though on this swing Labour would only take seventeen target seats at the election, 77 fewer than what they need to have a majority. The fieldwork…

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ComRes poll finds Corbyn with near identical ratings as Osborne

ComRes poll finds Corbyn with near identical ratings as Osborne

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ComRes online poll Con 42% (+2) Lab 30% (+1) LD 7% (-1) UKIP 13% (nc) Green 3% (-1) SNP 5% (nc). Changes since August — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 19, 2015 ComRes finds Corbyn with near identical ratings as Osborne and better than Clegg pic.twitter.com/DeVX3qTD12 — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 19, 2015 After the poor first week Corbyn has endured, he and Labour will be delighted with the headline voting intention that sees Labour up 1% and not down though the Tories…

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Who voted for Corbyn

Who voted for Corbyn

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Those nice people @YouGov have analysed who voted for Jeremy Corbyn (Part I) https://t.co/NAkhIrL3Th pic.twitter.com/EsR02xnRMy — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 15, 2015 Those nice people @YouGov have analysed who voted for Jeremy Corbyn (Part II) https://t.co/NAkhIrL3Th pic.twitter.com/01pGEruHNt — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 15, 2015 YouGov have analysed Jeremy Corbyn’s victory and they’ve found the following Around 70,000 people who voted in the leadership election did NOT vote Labour in May’s general election. 40,000 of them voted Green. Fully 92% of these Green voters backed Mr Corbyn….

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The pollsters might have to start applying a shy Labour filter

The pollsters might have to start applying a shy Labour filter

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The Conservative party's opening attack on Jeremy Corbyn pic.twitter.com/w8Dxh6odWG — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 14, 2015 Whilst Mr Corbyn is leader we might expect to see some shy Labour voters Judging by the opening attacks from the Conservatives greeting Jeremy Corbyn election as Labour leader you get the feeling Corbyn’s victory was foretold in The Book of Revelation somewhere between The Seven Headed Dragon and The Whore of Babylon. This is because one of Lynton Crosby’s mantras for winning election being Frame…

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The first polling verdict is in

The first polling verdict is in

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New @Survation poll finds http://t.co/8CH18fSuc8 pic.twitter.com/l0epD5my57 — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 12, 2015 New @Survation poll finds (part II) http://t.co/8CH18fSuc8 pic.twitter.com/6holD3qUHC — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 12, 2015 Survation have carried out a poll for the Mail on Sunday and it finds Jeremy Corbyn is not fit to be Prime Minister and most voters are less likely to vote Labour at the next General Election with him as leader.  Many believe his victory means Labour will lose the next TWO elections. That is the…

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