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Category: Polls

Was the Populus cuts question too ambitous?

Was the Populus cuts question too ambitous?

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How meaningful are responses to very long questions? We’ve now got the precise wording of the polling question that was read out over the telephone to 751 interviewees in this week’s Populus poll from the Times and which has been seized upon as evidence that there is little backing amongst the public for the government’s core strategy. “Which of the following statements do you most agree with? Britain has a severe debt crisis and this government thinks the country’s budget…

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ComRes: 44pc of Labour voters say they just “don’t know”

ComRes: 44pc of Labour voters say they just “don’t know”

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Independent Can we ignore this latest poll? There’s what might appear to be good news for the beleaguered David Miliband campaign in a ComRes poll for the Indy this morning. The sample consisted of 1,597 people who had voted Labour at least once since 1992 and all the findings seem to favour the ex-foreign secretary. Across a range of questions such as “preferred candidate”,” best opposition leader”, and “best PM” the elder Miliband is beating his brother by a factor…

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Will Labour be ahead by the month end?

Will Labour be ahead by the month end?

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What will the new leader do to the polls? Last night on the thread the former Labour MP, Nick Palmer, was offering a wager that his party would be ahead in the polls by the end of the month. I don’t know whether there were any takers but his reasoning was faultless. The result of the leadership election will be announced a week on Saturday – on the first day of the party’s conference. All eyes will then be on…

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Tory daily poll lead remains stable despite hacking affair

Tory daily poll lead remains stable despite hacking affair

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Survey Date CON (%) LAB (%) LD (%) Con Lead             YouGov/Sun 09/09/10 42 37 14 5 YouGov/Sun 06/09/10 42 37 13 5 YouGov/Sunday Times 03/09/10 42 37 12 5 YouGov/Sun 02/09/10 42 37 12 5 YouGov/Sun 01/09/10 43 37 12 6 YouGov/Sun 31/08/10 43 38 11 5 YouGov/Sunday Times 27/08/10 41 37 13 4 YouGov/Sun 26/08/10 42 37 12 5 YouGov/Sun 25/08/10 42 37 12 5 YouGov/Sun 24/08/10 41 38 13 3 YouGov/Sun 23/08/10…

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Could DaveM be the 2010 Hilary Benn?

Could DaveM be the 2010 Hilary Benn?

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How good is YouGov polling of Labour 56 days out? With David Miliband moving in the betting to being an 80% favourite perhaps we ought to reflect again on the ONLY poll of Labour and fee paying TU members who have been voting in this election. That survey closed 56 days before the end of voting. We’ve had nothing since and the Labour race of 2010 looks set to be the most under-polled leadership election of recent times. Even the…

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How do general election LD voters view things now?

How do general election LD voters view things now?

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The ICM approval ratings break-down Coalition – overall? Good job Bad Job Don’t know All sampled 46 36 18 Current CON voters 83 5 11 Current LAB voters 21 62 16 Current LD voters 59 25 16 May 6 LD voters 48 37 15 David Cameron Good job Bad Job Don’t know All sampled 57 31 12 Current CON voters 91 5 3 Current LAB voters 33 55 12 Current LD voters 68 26 7 May 6 LD voters 58…

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What’s the significance of the ratings cross-over point?

What’s the significance of the ratings cross-over point?

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YouGov The government’s net approval rating drops to zero The big polling news in the past twenty-fours hours has been the move to a zero rating, for the first time since the election, in the YouGov government approval rating. The question is a straightforward “Do you approve or disapprove of the government’s record to date?” The latest numbers were 40% approve and 40% disapprove. These figures started falling back for the coalition at the time of the budget and have…

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Are the blues getting most hurt in Scotland?

Are the blues getting most hurt in Scotland?

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Ipsos-MORI But does MORI give a bit of a relief to the yellows? In the build up to what one commentator is now calling “Super Thursday” – the elections on May 5th 2011 – we are going to see a fair bit of polling. For on that that day there’ll be elections to the Welsh Assembly, the Scottish Parliament, local councils in many parts of England as well as the planned referendum on the alternative vote. Ipsos-MORI has just published…

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