New poll from Derby shows 13 point CON>LAB swing At the general election in May 2010 the East Midlands was one of the most crucial CON-LAB battle-grounds. Of the 46 seats at stake more than a quarter were gained by the Tories – It went from a pre-election notional split of CON 19: LAB 26: LD 1 to CON 31 and LAB 15. However the boundary changes work out it’s clear that this will be a keenly contested region once…
Ed Miliband sees the biggest drop The monthly online poll by ComRes for the Indy on Sunday/Sunday Mirror is just out and sees the coalition partners moving upwards while Labour stands still. The figures with comparisons on last month are CON 38% (+2): LAB 40% (nc): LD 11% (+1). These are all well within the margin of error though the blues will be pleased to be getting within two points of the reds. ComRes is continuing with its monthly leader…
Economist But concerns are still way below the 2007 high The August Ipsos-MORI issues index is out in the Economist and not unexpectedly last week’s rioting has pushed crime/law and order/violence right up as one of the issues that most concern those sampled. This polling is unusual in that it is carried out face to face and the responses are totally unprompted. MORI has been doing it this way for three decades and their archives are an important part of…
Are we seeing the return of tactical voting The latest poll of voting intentions in the South West of England is just out and has good news for the Lib Dems and UKIP but bad news for Labour. As can be seen from the chart Labour are down from 28% two months ago to 21% now though this is still six points up on what they did in the region at the general election. The Tories, meanwhile, are down 2…
But all three leaders see improvements The weekly leader ratings from YouGov are just out and all three see an increase in their “doing well” figures and a decline in the “doing badly” rating. The biggest change has been for Nick Clegg who sees the positive number going up by four with a similar drop in the negative one making an eight point net change. The LD leader still has the smallest positive number and the biggest negative one. Miliband…
Another poll has voters backing the police over politicians The Guardian has an ICM poll just out asking for reactions on the riots. It was carried out online and the fieldwork finished last night – so it’s much more up to date than the YouGov numbers featured here this morning. The “good job/bad job” figures are shown in the chart above with Dave on 30% for “good job” to 44% for “bad job”. Acting Commissioner Tim Godwin, meanwhile has a…
Will the police always come out on top? Following the previous post about the reported police reaction to the PM’s criticisms over their handling of the riots I’ve dug up the above YouGov polling that was published on Wednesday. The question was: “Thinking about the recent riots in London and other cities in Britain. How well or badly do you think each of the following are dealing with situation? – The police/Cameron/Boris?” Things have moved on sharply in the past…
Was it criminal behaviour or the cuts? We’ve now got the the first comprehensive polling of public reaction to the riots and as can be seen from the YouGov data featured in the chart above there’s a big split between Conservative supporters and Labour ones. The question was quite simple – “Thinking about the recent riots in London and other cities in Britain, which of the following do you think is the MAIN cause of the riots?” As can be…