Conservatives 34 (+1) Labour 42 (-1) Lib Dems 11 (nc) Others 13 (nc) The changes are from the last ComRes telephone poll which was carried out in March. There is a large gender gap: 40 per cent of male voters will vote Conservative, 39 per cent  Labour and 8 per cent Lib Dem. But only 29 per cent of women voters  will vote Conservative, while 45 per cent  will vote Labour, and 14 per cent Lib Dem. On the economy. Seven…
Conservatives 36 (+3) Labour 41 (nc) LD 11 (-4) Others 12 (+1) Alarming for the the Lib Dems, they have hit a 15 year low with ICM. For David Cameron, the trend with the other pollsters is mirrored here, as his personal ratings have fallen, where he is now in a dead heat with Ed Miliband on the leadership ratings. The coalition retain their lead on the economic front, with some 44% prefer Cameron and chancellor George Osborne, as…
Are the blues right to think that the purples will return? The two big moves in opinion since the general election have been the Lib Dem collapse with the switch to Labour and now the rise of UKIP. The former has been studied at length but there’s been very little polling data on the latter. One challenge is that of all the pollsters only ComRes provides cross-tabs on UKIP supporters. In its latest poll Comres also has the question “Which,…
Opinium’s leader ratings also have Ed ahead of Dave There’s a new poll out from Opinium – the online firm that hasn’t received much credit for being closest with the final Boris-Ken split in the London Mayoral election just over a fortnight ago. It reported a 52-48 final split which was two points closer than YouGov. The final split in actual votes was 51.53% to 48.47%. Opiinum’s latest Westminster VI poll is now reporting, like the other firms, a move…
Both the PM and Nick Clegg see 8 points drops Another poll, MORI, has EdM beating DC in leader ratings.Ed’s net rating is -16/Dave’s is -28/Clegg’s is -39 bit.ly/JXzzkh — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 15, 2012 Clegg also sees a big drop in his MORI ratings down from -31 in April to -39 now.bit.ly/JXzzkh — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 15, 2012 Cameron’s -28% MORI rating is worse than Gordon Brown’s was in any survey from the pollster in the 5…
…YouGov points to a 1997-scale LABour landlside Update – Labour lead on 14: Latest YouGov/The Sun results 14th May CON 31%, LAB 45%, LD 7%, (UKIP 8%); APP -42 y-g.co/JPOlcP — YouGov (@YouGov) May 14, 2012 The YouGov LAB 45% CON 31% split is slightly better for Labour than in Tony Blair’s 1997 landslide when the voting wasLAB 44.4% CON 31.4% — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 15, 2012 Tonight’s YouGov lead for Labour of 14% is the highestrecorded by the…
Should the party ignore the activist base? The subject of gay marriage has come to the fore in both the US and in the UK, In the former last week electors in North Carolina voted to amend the state constitution to ban it. A day later Barack Obama said that he was in favour. Here in the UK it’s been a issue particularly within the Tory party and this morning Philip Hammond was on the Marr show expressing his reservations….
Ed Miliband overtakes Cameron in YouGov’s leader ratings. He’s on 32% WELL/55% BADLY to Cameron’s 32%/61%. So Ed’s net is -23% to Dave’s -29 — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 12, 2012 LATEST YouGov voting – 31/43/10 with UKIP on 8. Labour maintaining a solid double digit lead.. The LDs up from their low of 7% on Thu to 10 — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 12, 2012 EdM’s net YouGov leader ratings lead of 6% over Dave his best ever position…