YouGov And the blues have got bigger negatives? The chart above is from a new YouGov poll for Prospect when respondents were asked the following question:- “On a scale of 0 to 10, where 0 means you would never consider voting for them, and 10 means you would definitely consider voting for them, how likely are you to consider voting for the following parties at the next election?” It should be noted that each respondent was asked in turn about…
Ipsos-MORI Why the big MORI difference between the parties? The monthly Ipsos-MORI issues index for June is just out and concern about the EU/€ than has edged up 2% to 8% – where it was in April. This polling has been carried out in exactly the same way for more than a third of a century and involves asking people to name a many issues that concern them without being prompted. Given how the Eurozone crisis has dominated the headlines…
Three weeks into the campaign and NO increases lead There’s a new telephone poll from MORI of Scottish voters and the results are not encouraging for Alex Salmond or his party in their effort to secure a YES vote in the 2014 Independence referendum. On top of that the SNP leader sees a decline in his satisfaction ratings although they still remain positive. These are some of my Tweets. MORI Scotland: Salmond’s leadership ratings see sharp drop. He’s down a…
Should he worry about these numbers? There’s a new ComRes online poll out for tomorrow’s Indy on Sunday and the Sunday Mirror. As well as the latest voting intention figures – LAB 42+1/CON 32nc/ LD 9-2/UKIP 8+1the big focus is on George Osborne with no less than nine questions relating directly to him. These are:- Do you agree or disagree with this statement: I am satisfied with the way George Osborne is doing his job as Chancellor of the Exchequer…
Ipsos-MORI On voting intentions it’s CON 31%(-2): LAB 40%(-3): LD 10%(+1) While all eyes were focused on Leveson and this afternoon’s commons debate the latest telephone poll from Ipsos-MORI came out and there was bad news for George Osborne who has seen a big decline in his rating as “most capable chancellor”. When the pollster last asked this in March George was on 36% – today that is down at 29%. At the same time the rating for Ed Balls…
There are two new polls out. Survation Conservatives 29 (-1) Labour 37 (nc) Lib Dems 13 (nc) Job Performance Approval: Ed Miliband 25%, David Cameron 29%, Nick Clegg 43% Who do you trust most on the economy? David Cameron 34% Ed Miliband 29% Who do you trust most on the economy? Ed Balls 28% George Osborne 26% Meanwhile Angus Reid have the following poll Conservatives 29 (nc) Labour 45 (+4) Lib Dems 9 (-2) Approval net ratings Cameron minus 24%…
This is the debut of a new polling methodology from ICM. Conservatives 31% Labour 39% Lib Dems 16% Unlike conventional polls, which ask voters which party they would choose in a general election, the Wisdom Index asks them to predict the result of such a contest. This poll was conducted online, unlike other ICM polls which are conducted by phone. Martin Boon of ICM posted on the previous thread, here is an excerpt. The new technique is based on…
There is an interesting snippet emerging from Martin Boon of ICM. “ICM\Sunday Telegraph to launch brand new method of predicting elections using public opinion” Whilst Patrick Hennessey of the Sunday Telegraph tweeted “New direction in opinion polling pioneered by SunTel/ICM tomorrow…watch this space later on” This will be out this evening. I’m very intrigued by this. Hopefully there will be a VI poll as well. TSE Note: Mike Smithson is on holiday until June 7th.