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Category: Polls

Poll blows for Nick Clegg as the party faithful gather in Brighton

Poll blows for Nick Clegg as the party faithful gather in Brighton

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Daily Mirror Just 25% of LDs think they’ll do better keeping him A new Survation poll for today’s Daily Mirror, taken partly after Clegg “Sorry” video shows no change for the party, The only movement on the firm’s last poll in the Mail on Sunday a month ago has been a three point increase in the LAB vote at the expense of others. These are the figures: CON 30(nc):LAB 40(+3):LD 10(nc): UKIP 12(nc) The firm almost always reports the biggest…

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Asking the same leadership questions in both the UK and US

Asking the same leadership questions in both the UK and US

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Ipsos-MORI It’s now clear that the leadership questions released on Cameron and Miliband earlier this week were part of a much bigger transatlantic survey involving the Ipsos group of which MORI is its UK arm. I thought it odd at the time that included in the list was “man of faith” – something that didn’t seem right from a UK perspective. The info-graphic above sets out the findings with stronger figures, in the main, for the incumbent in each case….

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Labour maybe 15 percent ahead in the overnight Populus poll but the leader who should be most worried is Ed Miliband

Labour maybe 15 percent ahead in the overnight Populus poll but the leader who should be most worried is Ed Miliband

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When forced to choose just 31% want Ed as PM The dramatic polling news overnight from Populus had Labour move to a 15% lead over the Tories. The figures, with changes on the last survey from the pollster in July, were CON 30%(-4): LAB 45%(+5): LD 10%(-2). That’s the biggest lead we’ve seen since the election in a telephone poll where certainty to vote is one of the key determinants. On the face of it, then, seriously good news for…

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At some stage the Times will stop teasing us over its Populus poll

At some stage the Times will stop teasing us over its Populus poll

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… In the first instalment of the Times / Populus pre conference mega poll…. — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) September 17, 2012 Dramatic and ambivalent and complex. Tonight’s Populus poll cannot be explained in a sentence, but cleverly captures the voters’ dilemma… — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) September 17, 2012 @samcoatestimes Well tell us the Populus numbers then or are you going to tease us all night? — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 17, 2012 This post will be updated when…

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Just 53 days of campaigning left and the Obama lead over Romney is being sustained

Just 53 days of campaigning left and the Obama lead over Romney is being sustained

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But could the convention bounce evaporate like McCain’s? Above is the latest Real Clear Politics round up of polling in the 2012 White House Race and the message is that the Obama gap has got wider and is being sustained. Only Rasmussen is showing a different picture. The big hope of the Romney camp must be that the boost that the President has received since the convention will, like with John McCain in 2008 be eroded rapidly more than a…

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The Sun’s “Boris would add 6 percent” poll could further undermine David Cameron’s leadership

The Sun’s “Boris would add 6 percent” poll could further undermine David Cameron’s leadership

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The Sun Without Boris YouGov finds that it’s CON 31/LAB 42/LD 10%.With Boris as leader CON 37%/LAB 38%/LD 11% so almost all of LAB lead wiped out — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 12, 2012 There are two big reasons why the Sun poll on the impact on voting figures of a Boris is significant:- It points to the extent that Britain’s biggest-selling paper is getting behind Boris in an effort to have him replace Cameron as Tory leader – something…

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If YouGov asked these questions about Boris you can bet that he’d beat Dave, Ed and Nick

If YouGov asked these questions about Boris you can bet that he’d beat Dave, Ed and Nick

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We are being even more disillusioned with all three leaders About twice a month YouGov asks its polling panel to rate the three main party leaders on a range of points and a new set is out this morning. The striking feature is that almost all the movement is downwards and in several cases we are seeing new lows. T The first column in the tables below relates to the mid-August positions. David Cameron Ed Miliband Nick Clegg For me…

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Mitt Romney slips further in the betting after disappointing post-conventions polling

Mitt Romney slips further in the betting after disappointing post-conventions polling

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On Betfair he’s 32.2% chance down 5 since his Tampa speech It is always said that there are three critical points when a challenger in a presidential race can change the narrative and his prospects. The first comes, usually in the August, with the choice of the V-P nominee. The second comes with the party national conventions and thirdly there are the debates. We’ve now completed two of those and Mitt Romney is still waiting for his breakthrough in both…

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