How many of Cameron/Clegg/Miliband will still be leaders of their parties on general election day? None One Two Three The “poll” above is based on an an intriguing market from PaddyPower on how many of Cameron/Clegg/Miliband will still be leading their parties on the day of the general election. The options and prices are:- None 16/1 One 6/1 Two 6/4 Three 10/11 What I like is that is is just the numbers and not who. So if you…
Ed Miliband sees the biggest drop The monthly online poll by ComRes for the Indy on Sunday/Sunday Mirror is just out and sees the coalition partners moving upwards while Labour stands still. The figures with comparisons on last month are CON 38% (+2): LAB 40% (nc): LD 11% (+1). These are all well within the margin of error though the blues will be pleased to be getting within two points of the reds. ComRes is continuing with its monthly leader…
Ipsos-MORI And shouldn’t Ed being faring better amongst ex-LDs? As well as this morning’s voting intention figures we now have details of the pollster’s leadership ratings which have been asked in the same form for nearly a third of a century. As can be seen Cameron is almost at a standstill, Clegg sees an upturn from the previous seriously poor figures and Ed Miliband continues to struggle. In spite of Labour benefitting more than the Tories in the fall of…
Could they be in for a tricky conference season? Stan James has an interesting market on which of the three main party leaders will be the first to leave before. The exits have to take place before the next general election and there’s an option that all three will be in place. Clegg is 7/4 Miliband is 2/1 Cameron is 12/1 None of them 5/4 Politicians are a remarkably resilient lot and it takes a lot to shift someone who has got…
Telegraph Is Brogan right about Clegg winning the “big battle”? In an interesting piece for the Telegraph Ben Brogan is arguing that on the key policy issues it is the LDs who are largely setting the agenda. “.. No wonder Tories hope that from tomorrow, the Lib Dems will cease to call the tune. The dog will be free to wag its tail again – indeed, if anything, Mr Cameron will have to restrain those urging him to call an…
Surprisingly given the enormity of the event we got through the who half hour of PMQs without Osama’s killing coming up. Overall was a down-beat session with the house half empty ahead of tomorrow’s big elections. Both Ed Miliband and David Cameron did pretty well during their exchanges and they came out about even. The big talking points has been on Nick Clegg. This is how the Telegraph’s Ben Brogan saw it:- “… But what jumped out watching it on…
Is he worth a 14/1 bet? I’ve been getting a number of requests for my view on whether Clegg will survive a disastrous series of results on Thursday and whether Huhne, Farron or AN Other would be the likely successor. I believe that Clegg has an extraordinary level of resilience and if he wants to carry on then he will do so – any observations I make here on the leadership have to be seen in that context. A key…
Is Clegg about to jump onto the Lansley Lifeboat? The main story in the Indy on Sunday is a report, described as an exclusive, by Matt Chorley and Nina Lakhani that David Cameron will announce this week that the brakes are to be put on Andrew Lansley’s controversial NHS reforms. The report states: “… Mr Cameron will publicly admit to mistakes in the plan by the Secretary of State, Andrew Lansley, to hand £80bn of health spending to family doctors,…