Browsed by
Category: Lib Dems

Is the old LD election machine broken beyond repair?

Is the old LD election machine broken beyond repair?

Comments 0 Comment

If so, how does Clegg build a new one? The Barnsley Central by-election was not a resounding success for any of the main three parties. Labour regained most of the share they lost at the general election but still polled a smaller proportion than in 2005, the Conservatives lost half their share and were beaten by UKIP, and the Lib Dems lost their deposit, more than three-quarters of their share and finished sixth. That more than a quarter of the…

Read More Read More

Should the LDs pull the plug and take the hit now?

Should the LDs pull the plug and take the hit now?

Comments 0 Comment

What are the chances of a 2011 general election? It’s been a pretty depressing couple of weeks for the junior coalition party. First there was Clegg’s unfortunate “am I in charge” quip, then he had to face a pretty robust DPMQs, the go-ahead to Rupert Murdoch and now the Barnsley Central result. Even AV, if the latest YouGov poll suggesting that support for NO is growing is correct, might not get through as easily as it looked a few weeks…

Read More Read More

Should Iain Gray offer the Scottish Lib Dems a lifeline?

Should Iain Gray offer the Scottish Lib Dems a lifeline?

Comments 0 Comment

A guest slot by Lucien Fletcher With opinion polls suggesting that Labour will perform well in the Scottish Parliament elections on May 5th, the party will have a great opportunity to move on from a difficult couple of years. The party should retain its hold on the National Assembly for Wales, make strong gains in English local authorities and regain power in the Scottish Parliament. Unless all opinion polls are utterly wrong in Scotland, Labour will be comfortably the largest…

Read More Read More

Is the Lib Dem poll slump an image thing?

Is the Lib Dem poll slump an image thing?

Comments 0 Comment

< And what implications for the by-election? One of the most striking features of the opinion poll movements since the general election is the disparity between the performance of the two coalition partners. The Conservatives have never polled less than their election score of 37% with YouGov, although they have been a little lower with other firms. By contrast, the Lib Dems have lost close to two-thirds of theirs if the most recent YouGov survey is on the mark. Other...

Read More Read More

Time to cross Portsmouth S off the by election list?

Time to cross Portsmouth S off the by election list?

Comments 0 Comment

Some pre-Xmas good news for the yellows? Today’s news that no charges are to be brought against Portsmouth South MP, Mike Hancock, should provide some welcome good news for Nick Clegg and his party. For if the case of alleged “inappropriate behaviour” with a constituent had gone to trial then Hancock would probably have had to resign his seat leading to a very difficult by-election for his party to have to fight. He had been arrested and bailed in October….

Read More Read More

Should Clegg have gone for the Picasso – not turquoise strategy?

Should Clegg have gone for the Picasso – not turquoise strategy?

Comments 0 Comment

Picasso – Night fishing at Antibes Was this the way of keeping the LDs distinctive? With the continuing Lib Dem falling poll shares, the Vince Cable affair and the ongoing reverberations from the student fees decision there’ve been some fascinating posts on PB about what went wrong and the strategy the party might have followed. One of the most insightful came overnight from long-standing poster, Yellow Submarine in which he looked to the art world for inspiration. The 2010 result…

Read More Read More

The yellows are at 9 points as well with Angus Reid

The yellows are at 9 points as well with Angus Reid

Comments 0 Comment

Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD % Angus Reid/ 20/12/10 35 41 9 Angus Reid/ 29/11/10 35 40 13 Angus Reid/ 28/10/10 35 37 15 Angus Reid/Sunday Express 01/10/10 35 38 16 And Labour take a six point lead There’s a new poll tonight from Angus Reid which has the Lib Dems taking a huge hit dropping from 13% at the end of November to 9 points now. Labour move up to 41% giving them a six point margin…

Read More Read More

Labour move to their highest ever PAPA level

Labour move to their highest ever PAPA level

Comments 0 Comment

PB All Pollsters’ Average Date CON % LAB % LD % ***PAPA Latest*** 21/12/2010 37.4 40.0 11.2 PAPA November 30/11/10 36.6 39.4 12.6 PAPA October 2010 31/10/10 37.6 37.2 15.2 PAPA September 2010 30/09/10 37.8 37.0 14.8 PAPA August 2010 31/08/10 39.3 36.0 15.0 PAPA July 2010 31/07/10 40.0 36.7 15.0 PAPA June 2010 30/06/10 40.2 37.2 17.2 And the gloom for the yellows continues The overnight polls from YouGov and ICM have reinforced the trend on PAPA – the…

Read More Read More