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A challenging time for LAB as the negative impact of Osborne’s March 2012 budget appears to be waning

A challenging time for LAB as the negative impact of Osborne’s March 2012 budget appears to be waning

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Fewer people are blaming the CON-LD coalition for the cuts than at any time since the March 2012 budget. See chart. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 8, 2013 32 months after losing power LAB is still being blamed YouGov’s regular tracker “Who’s most to blame for current spending cuts?” is one I return to time and time again because I believe it might be a good pointer by the time we get to 2015. Today’s latest figures are refelected…

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Labour’s Southern Strategy

Labour’s Southern Strategy

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The map above shows the 2010 General election results, and shows Labour’s lack of seats in the South, a couple of years ago, the always perceptive Antifrank made this observation, which stuck in the mind, and puts the map into context Labour did appallingly in the south of England. In the south east, south west and eastern England combined, it won 10 seats. There were 197 on offer. Holding the 32 seats it lost in these regions in 2010 would have…

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Henry G Manson asks: “Is the Labour Party capable of Coalition?”

Henry G Manson asks: “Is the Labour Party capable of Coalition?”

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What if they fall short of a majority? It’s that time of the year again when Labour MPs wonder out loud how to approach the Liberal Democrats. What might seem irrelevant internal machinations can be revealing and have implications for 2015 in the case of a hung parliament. This week there has been a new grouping created, oddly called Labour for Democracy. It has little to directly do with democracy other than encourage the party to work with other ‘progressive’…

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How saying goodbye to Gordon and being in opposition has boosted Labour “likeability” numbers

How saying goodbye to Gordon and being in opposition has boosted Labour “likeability” numbers

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Being in opposition is doing wonders for Labour’s “likeability” ratings. See Ipsos-MORI data 2007-2012 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 23, 2012 But what will it look like if they return to power? The chart above is based on Ipsos-MORI’s October “Leaders and Parties” polling. Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB

Henry G Manson says LAB should consider the 2006 Dave the Chameleon approach to undermine Cameron

Henry G Manson says LAB should consider the 2006 Dave the Chameleon approach to undermine Cameron

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Is it more relevant and pointed now than it was then? Six and a half years ago the Labour Party launched a party political broadcast aiming to highlight how David Cameron would say whatever his audience or ‘target demographic’ wanted to hear. At the time I was struck by how many people were prepared to give Cameron the benefit of the doubt. It didn’t have traction. I think this is less the case now. The respray he gave his party…

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EdM’s Manchester success could make it easier to shift Balls

EdM’s Manchester success could make it easier to shift Balls

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Henry G Manson looks at the next chancellor betting Now that the Labour leader has raised his game, there will be some reflection on how Labour can boost its poor economic ratings. At some point before the election Ed Miliband may consider replacing Ed Balls as his Shadow Chancellor. Balls was the leader’s 3rd choice behind David Miliband and Alan Johnson. The Labour leadership should be concerned that despite Ed Balls calling a number of big issues right in the…

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Eddie Izzard – Labour’s 2016 London Mayoral candidate???

Eddie Izzard – Labour’s 2016 London Mayoral candidate???

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The word I’m getting from the Labour conference in Manchester is that the comedian Eddie Izzard is being lined up to be the Labour candidate in the 2016 London mayoral election. He was very prominent at the conference and it is being said has some high level support. During the 2010 general election Izzard fronted election broadcasts for the party. Ladbrokes have him at 25/1. Mike Smithson For the latest polling news from the US and UK Follow @MSmithsonPB

Ed Miliband has to shake off the blame within two years or else Labour won’t win outright

Ed Miliband has to shake off the blame within two years or else Labour won’t win outright

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Tweet YouGov The time is starting to run out I make no apologies for returning to this subject once again but I regard the above “blame for the cuts” findings as more important than voting intention numbers or leader ratings in pointing to the outcome of the next general election. The Opinium poll for the Observer at the weekend had very similar numbers with just 29% of those sampled blaming the coalition. Today’s YouGov for the Sun has Labour back…

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