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Category: Labour leadership

++++ComRes: CON39/LAB36/LD15++++

++++ComRes: CON39/LAB36/LD15++++

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Survey Date CON % LAB % LD % ComRes/Independent 01/10/10 39 36 15 ComRes/IOS-S Mirror 17/09/10 37 35 15 ComRes/Independent 05/09/10 38 34 18 ComRes/Mirror/GMTV 15/08/10 39 33 15 ComRes/Independent 08/08/10 39 33 16 ComRes/Independent 27/06/10 40 31 18 ComRes/Independent on Sunday 17/06/10 36 30 23 ComRes/Independent 31/05/10 37 33 21 ComRes/IOS-S Mirror 13/05/10 38 34 21 Blow for Labour in new phone poll There’s a new phone poll from ComRes out in the Independent where the fieldwork finished yesterday…

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HenryG’s top tips for EdM’s successor

HenryG’s top tips for EdM’s successor

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So who’ll be “The Next Leader Of the Next Generation?” Hats off to Ladbrokes for being first off the mark to price up a market on the next Labour leader after Ed Miliband. Given Labour’s loyalty to its leaders it’s quite likely that Ed Miliband will be leader for the next two general elections. His successor is likely to be a new MP. Not only are political leaders younger, as Michael Crick astutely pointed out recently, young candidates have a…

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Can Labour/EdM really ditch Iraq so easily?

Can Labour/EdM really ditch Iraq so easily?

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Channel 4 News Will the sore continue to fester? The beaten brother in Labour’s leadership election, David Miliband, is expected to make a statement today that could see the end of a front-line role in British politics. Certainly the way that the coverage of his bother’s maiden speech developed into the story of his reprimand to Harriet Harman for clapping the statement that the Iraq war was a mistake was a good illustration of what’s likely to happen if he…

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How could the Beeb make such a pig’s ear of this?

How could the Beeb make such a pig’s ear of this?

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Click to play When will they learn – we want the fecking numbers! Fortunately on Saturday afternoon I watched the Labour leadership results being announced on SkyNews and have only just caught up with how the BBC did after reading of a formal complaint made by a PB regular to the BBC and reported on the previous thread. It’s the same fault we get every time. They don’t think that we want the numbers so we had the ridiculous spectacle…

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Will UNITE think that Ed Miliband owes it something?

Will UNITE think that Ed Miliband owes it something?

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First preferences Abbott Balls Burnham DaveM EdM UNITE 11129 6995 7993 21778 47439 GMB 3213 2548 3119 9746 18128 UNISON 2910 2141 2343 6665 9652 Other 21 bodies 8686 9934 4449 20000 12366 Total affiliates 25938 21618 17904 58189 87585 Overall split 12.28% 10.23% 8.48% 27.55% 41.46% UNITE SPLIT 11.67% 7.34% 8.38% 22.84% 49.76% Should one union be so influential? As everybody knows it was the heavy voting for Ed Miliband in the “associates” third of Labour’s electoral college that…

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Did nominating Diane Abbott cost DavidM the election?

Did nominating Diane Abbott cost DavidM the election?

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Would he have fared better without her on the ballot? In early June when David Miliband announced at the last minute that he would nominate Diane Abbott there were those who declared this a master-stroke. For it was argued that the presence of a black woman on the ballot would divert votes from his brother making the latter’s task that much harder. This is how the Indy on Sunday’s John Rentoul described it at the time: ..”What she will do,…

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Will EdM take Labour back to Sept/Oct ’07 levels?

Will EdM take Labour back to Sept/Oct ’07 levels?

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Autumn 2007 polling Date CON LAB LD YouGov/Sunday Times 16/11/07 41 35 13 YouGov/Telegraph 24/10/07 41 38 11 YouGov/Sunday Times 06/10/07 41 38 11 YouGov/Channel 4 04/10/07 36 40 13 YouGov/Telegraph 28/09/07 32 43 15 YouGov/Channel 4 25/09/07 33 44 13 Will they be at 40+ when he makes his 1st speech? Last night the News International daily poll from YouGov had CON 39%: LAB 38%: LD 15% – so the red team was just one point adrift. The big…

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Can anybody beat my 33-1 bet?

Can anybody beat my 33-1 bet?

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What was your betting story? The conclusion of Labour’s leadership election marks the end of a major betting event and something that we’ve been arguing about and punting on for more than three years. Thankfully, from my perspective, EdM came home and I’ve just spent a pleasurable half hour or so transferring my winnings into my bank account. I’d backed EdM at a wide range of prices over a year and the best bet was the 33/1 with Ladbrokes in…

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