Browsed by
Category: Corbyn

Ladbrokes make Sir Keir Starmer favourite for Corbyn’s successor

Ladbrokes make Sir Keir Starmer favourite for Corbyn’s successor

Sir Keir Starmer is 8/1 favourite to be next Labour leader. pic.twitter.com/UhMtxCzhnW — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) December 13, 2016 So much is dependent on Len Len McCluskey’s chances at UNITE Ladbrokes have moved Keir Starmer, the shadow BREXIT minister and former DPP, to 8/1 favourite as next LAB leader. On the basis of his performances in his shadow role then there’s clear logic in this but so much is dependent on whether Len McCluskey wins re-election as boss of UNITE….

Read More Read More

What Corbyn’s re-election and the huge increase in membership is doing to LAB as an electoral force

What Corbyn’s re-election and the huge increase in membership is doing to LAB as an electoral force

Ignore polls. Focus on real elections when real voters cast real votes We’ve just gone through a political period that hasn’t been experienced for 30 years. – three consecutive Westminster by-elections in CON seats. For one of the strange facts about UK by-elections in recent times is that vacancies, for whatever reason, have mostly occurred in LAB held seats and CON defences have been rare. So this period since October when we’ve had Witney, Richmond Park, and Sleaford + Hykehem…

Read More Read More

The party leaders most opposed to BREXIT appear to be the most secure in their positions

The party leaders most opposed to BREXIT appear to be the most secure in their positions

William Hill betting – first party leader to go 2/1 Corbyn 5/2 Nuttall 7/2 May 6/1 Sturgeon 6/1 Farron Interesting market recently gone up at William Hill – which of the main party leaders as listed will be first to leave? Going through it: Corbyn is the clear favourite though , as has been discussed many times, there is no easy means to get him out. Labour’s system means that when they are stuck with a totally toxic leader and…

Read More Read More

Young Prezza to save old Jezza? the task facing Corbyn’s new speechwriter.

Young Prezza to save old Jezza? the task facing Corbyn’s new speechwriter.

Andy Burnham backer drafted in “I’m not a PR man. I’m a campaigner,” so says Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn’s new speechwriter who began work last week. David Prescott, the son of former deputy Prime Minister Lord “Prezza” Prescott joined the Corbyn cause just as the scale of his challenge was being emphasised by Labour’s fourth place in the Sleaford and North Hykeham by election and the YouGov poll showing Corbyn was rated best Prime Minister by just 16% — trailing…

Read More Read More

Betting on Labour polling under 20% at the next general election

Betting on Labour polling under 20% at the next general election

Ladbrokes’ odds imply it is a 9% chance that Labour poll below 20% at the next general election, with Corbyn leading Labour I think the chances are higher Ladbrokes have a market up on Labour’s share of the vote at the next general election, which could be less than a couple of months away according to press reports this morning. I think the value is backing sub 20% and here’s why (short answer = Jeremy Corbyn.) The YouGov poll earlier…

Read More Read More

With five days to go a Corbyn boost for the Lib Dems in Richmond Park – he’s to visit the constituency on Sunday

With five days to go a Corbyn boost for the Lib Dems in Richmond Park – he’s to visit the constituency on Sunday

At last a positive step from LAB to help the LDs in the Richmond Park by-election. Corbyn is visiting the constituency on Sunday — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 25, 2016 https://twitter.com/ChrisTwick/status/802213361358401537 Billionaire's son Zac Goldsmth whinging again about facing opposition in the by-election caused by HIS resignationhttps://t.co/eMFBpvVPJ3 pic.twitter.com/yFuULjBYoC — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 25, 2016