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Ipsos-MORI To mark the coalition’s first 100 days Ipsos-MORI has put together some current and historical polling data tracking the responses to some of the standard questions that it has been using for decades. The above chart is the one that seems the most significant – a majority continue to believe that what the coalition is doing will improve the state of the economy. Just compare it with the previous government’s record after 2001. Given the scale of cuts and…

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electionleaflets.org/ What’ll happen if the court orders a re-run? The above leaflet is one of a number that will be the subject of a special hearing on September 13th by an election court in a case brought by the losing Lib Dem candidate in Oldham East and Saddleworth, Elwyn Wilkins. He’s claiming that the result was swayed by Labour leaflets containing false claims about foreign donations and support from Muslim extremists. This is a highly unusual case that could just…

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Watch this interview with Labour’s Deborah Mattinson Earlier this evening I watched this BBC Parliament Channel interview with former Labour pollster Deborah Mattinson. She was at the heart of the party for many years and her insights about the public’s view of politicians, politics and the political process are a good reminder to us all. For there’s a massive disconnect between what goes on at Westminster and the lives of the vast majority of voters. This is something that we…

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Will the free milk U-turn make next time much harder? Last weekend, the government performed a U-turn so quickly that it may as well have spun round on the spot. Within a few hours of a junior minister being seen to propose scrapping the remaining universal free milk provision for under fives, restricting it to the neediest and saving £50m, Downing Street had squashed the idea. In one sense, it was very probably the right move. £50m is less than…

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Party ID/PV YouGov ID ICM past vote Populus PV ComRes PV CON 28.5 25 26 24 LAB 32.5 21 21 20 LD 12 16 19 16 OTH 3 7 7 7 NONE/DK/Rfsd 24 31 28 31 How the four firms try to get “balanced samples” I’ve put the above table together as a reference point for whenever the contentious subject of political weighting comes up. YouGov, ICM, Populus and ComRes all seek to ensure that their samples are politically as…

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How will Scotland react in the run-up to next year’s elections? Several of the papers are giving coverage on this August morning to the PM’s backing to moving the clocks forward an hour throughout the year so people can enjoy longer evenings. There would be two options – to switch to the time zone which is almost standard throughout the EU – an hour ahead – with the clocks changing as usual in April and October or for there to…

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UPDATED Country/area Before After Change England 533 503 -30 Scotland 59 52 -7 Wales 40 30 -10 Northern Ireland 18 15 -3 UK total 650 600 -50 English regions Greater London 73 70 -3 South West 55 53 -2 West Midlands 59 54 -5 North West 75 68 -7 North East 29 26 -3 Yorkshire and Humber 54 50 -4 East Midlands 46 44 -2 East of England 58 57 -1 South East 84 81 -3 But would it be…

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