Is he’s going to run to get his old job back? So far there’s been very little activity on the next UKIP leader market and only Ladbrokes have deemed it important enough to quote prices and lay bets. At the moment everybody’s waiting to see if ex-leader, Nigel Farage, will enter the fray in the fight to head the party that came second in the 2009 Euro election. Farage, as will be recalled, stood down in order to devote himsellf…
Independent ..or is the media trying to breathe life into the contest? After a long period when Labour’s election has failed to attract much media attention it’s all change this morning with several papers highlighting how “the gloves are coming off” between the brothers. It makes good copy, of course, and the weird spectacle of two siblings slugging it out was always going to be the focus as we got closer to voting. But are the papers making too much…
Has Labour misplayed its defections game? It’s well known that Charles Kennedy was not happy with the Lib Dem-Conservative coalition deal when it was put together and by all accounts, remains so. That’s been reinforced by a spate of newspaper articles today that suggest that he might be, or might have been, considering defecting to Labour. As Nick Palmer notes in this morning’s thread, the mere fact that the story’s come out without a simultaneous defection indicates that it’s not…
Surely who he chooses will win?
Betfair Politics Are the Republicans going to take the house? Almost certainly the most important elections in the world in the next three month will be the US MidTerms. This comes up every four years half way through presidential terms. At stake are all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and a third of the 100 seats in the Senate. The former have two year terms while the latter serve for six years. There are also a large number…
Is this the way of winning back middle class support? I am writing this on board the excellent X5 bus – the twice an hour service that links Oxford with Cambridge. The vehicles have recently been upgraded – there are leather seats and there’s even free wi-fi. Best of all because I am over 60 I can travel to Cambridge and back for absolutely nothing simply by showing my bus pass, see above, that is valid all over England. It…
Pollster/publication Date CON LAB LD YouGov/Sun 17/08/10 42 37 14 ICM /Guardian 15/08/10 37 37 18 ComRes/Mirror 15/08/10 39 33 15 YouGov/Sun 16/08/10 41 37 15 Harris/Mail 14/08/10 38 36 16 Just 1,715 day to go before the election! The first 100 days of the coalition have been marked by a couple polls that have almost gone unnoticed. Last night on the thread we picked up on a ComRes survey for the Mirror and there was the unexpected Harris poll…
Pollster/publication Date CON LAB LD ICM Guardian 16/08/10 37 37 18 YouGov/Sun 16/08/10 41 37 15 ComRes/Independent 08/08/10 39 33 16 YouGov/Sun Times 06/08/10 42 36 13 YouGov/Sun 26/07/10 42 35 15 MORI/Reuters 25/07/10 40 38 14 ICM/Guardian 25/07/10 38 34 19 YouGov/Sun 21/07/10 44 35 13 ComRes/Independent 27/06/10 40 31 18 YouGov/Sunday Times 25/06/10 43 36 16 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 24/06/10 41 35 16 YouGov/Sun 24/06/10 43 34 17 Populus/Times 23/06/10 39 33 18 YouGov/Sun 23/06/10 42 34 17 YouGov/Sun…